Result
0:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/527) | 79% (238/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/527) | 79% (238/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/94) | 57% (34/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Jonathan Calleri (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sabino ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 46', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 59', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 62', Lobato L. ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 62', Pablo ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 69', Luciano ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 69', Marcos Antonio ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 75', Du Queiroz ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 75', Lucas Lima ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 75', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 82', Hereda ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 90+3', Hyoran 🟨,
- 90+9', Alisson ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 90+11', Igor Carius ↓, Lucas Cunha ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
56.7% | Draw
26.3% | Sport Recife
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
São Paulo - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.56) |
3.64 ↓
(4.02) |
5.55 ↓
(5.99) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 71.3% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia
(Inactive)
Young
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Luiz Gustavo
(Inactive)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:10 (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Sport Recife?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against São Paulo?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Sport Recife were as follows:
01.06.2023
São Paulo
-
Sport Recife
2:3
17.05.2023
Sport Recife
-
São Paulo
0:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
