Result
3:4 penalties
06/12/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (181/246) | 87% (348/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (181/246) | 87% (348/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 53% (18/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (50/86) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.44 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 16', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
- 27', 2 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
- 38', Pasquini N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Trauco M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pretell J. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 52', Cantero A. 🟨,
- 67', Sosa L. ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
- 70', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 70', Castillo J. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
- 71', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 71', Cantero A. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
- 73', Wisdom I. ↓, Yotun Y. ↑,
- 79', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Tavara M. ⚽, Benavente C. (A),
- 83', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 85', Quevedo K. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
- 87', Benavente C. 🟨,
- 90', Gaibor F. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Tavara M. ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Pena S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Castillo E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Benavente C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Trauco M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Avila I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Pasquini N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Barcos H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Pacheco F. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
44.6% | Draw
29.9% | Sporting Cristal
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Lima's form might have worsened.Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Lima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.78) |
3.16 ↓
(3.54) |
3.64 ↓
(4.25) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Abram L.
(Injury)
Cazonatti G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Alianza Lima?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
02.12.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
05.08.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
0:0
01.03.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
17.08.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
30.06.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
