Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
06/12/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.37
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
710
Passes
74% (181/246)87% (348/402)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.56
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
710
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
74% (181/246)87% (348/402)
Long passes
46% (25/54)53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
58% (50/86)72% (77/107)
Crosses
14% (2/14)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.60
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1611
Tackles
88% (7/8)86% (6/7)
Duels won
3935
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.561.71
Goals prevented
-1.44-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Castillo E. , Garces R. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 1, Castillo E. , Cantero A. (A),
  • 38', Pasquini N. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Paolo Guerrero , Trauco M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Pretell J. , Benavente C. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez S. , Pacheco F. ,
  • 52', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 67', Sosa L. , Cazonatti G. ,
  • 70', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 70', Castillo J. , Aquino P. ,
  • 71', Paolo Guerrero , Barcos H. ,
  • 71', Cantero A. , Lavandeira Hernandez P. ,
  • 73', Wisdom I. , Yotun Y. ,
  • 79', Felipe Vizeu , Avila I. ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Tavara M. , Benavente C. (A),
  • 83', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 85', Quevedo K. , Pena S. ,
  • 87', Benavente C. 🟨,
  • 90', Gaibor F. , Chavez G. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Tavara M. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Pena S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Castillo E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Benavente C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Trauco M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Avila I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Pasquini N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Barcos H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Pacheco F. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
44.6%
Draw
29.9%
Sporting Cristal
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 26.1% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.2% 21.1%

Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.78)
3.16
(3.54)
3.64
(4.25)
7.1%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Abram L. (Injury) Cazonatti G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    02.12.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 1:1
    05.08.2025 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    01.03.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 1:2
    17.08.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 0:0
    30.06.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1CuscoBye
    2Alianza LimaSporting Cristal3 : 4, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CuscoSporting Cristal2 : 0, 0 : 1