Result
0:0
05/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/365) | 86% (341/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/365) | 86% (341/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (78/115) | 73% (45/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Gaibor F. 🟨,
- 15', Garces R. 🟨,
- 18', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 18', Pena S. 🟨,
- 40', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Castro M. 🟥,
- 66', Gaibor F. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 67', Avila I. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 67', Wisdom I. ↓, Yotun Y. ↑,
- 68', Pena S. 🟨,
- 76', Pacheco F. 🟨,
- 79', Yotun Y. 🟨,
- 82', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 83', Gentile G. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 90+5', Enriquez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
45.9% | Draw
27.8% | Sporting Cristal
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.2) |
3.35 ↓
(3.43) |
3.5 ↑
(3.22) |
7.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 2 - 50%). Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
- Alianza Lima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting Cristal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza Lima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J.
(Broken nose)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
Paolo Guerrero
(Ankle Injury)
Pena S.
(Muscle Injury)
Zambrano C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Posito Olazabal A. J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
Cari P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Alianza Lima?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
01.03.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
17.08.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
30.06.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
09.03.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
1:2
08.07.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
0:0
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
