Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (255/325) | 80% (240/299) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 76% (91/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 13% (2/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Velasquez J. (Own goal),
- 19', Cabellos C. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽,
- 34', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Archimbaud J. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Cabellos C. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
- 56', Sosa M. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Cantero A. ⚽, Gaibor F. (A),
- 63', Avila I. ↓, Gonzales C. ↑,
- 76', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 79', Pretell J. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 79', Lora J. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 80', Romero F. 🟨,
- 90', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 90', Cantero A. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
49.9% | Draw
28.3% | Alianza Lima
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.29) |
3.32 ↓
(3.38) |
4.33 ↑
(3.07) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
Sporting Cristal will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 2.
- Sporting Cristal in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa L.
(Muscle Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Cristal won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Alianza Lima?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Lima has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima were as follows:
17.08.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
30.06.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
09.03.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
1:2
08.07.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Sporting Cristal
0:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
