Result
1:2
19/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 19
- Referee: Segura R. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 73% (165/227) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 73% (165/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (80/121) | 54% (33/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Benavente C. ⚽,
- 45+4', F. Rojas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', F. Rojas ↓, Franco D. ↑,
- 46', Olivares C. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Otoya D. ⚽,
- 58', Vasquez A. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 62', Lutiger R. ↓, Salgado C. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Salgado C. (Own goal),
- 75', Benavente C. ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
- 75', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
- 80', de la Cruz P. ↓, Espinoza H. ↑,
- 80', Bolivar J. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 81', Flores A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Otoya D. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
- 90+2', Cabellos A. ↓, Cotito A. ↑,
- 90+14', Lora J. 🟨,
- 90+16', Cotito A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
36.7% | Draw
29% | Sporting Cristal
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.87) |
3.29 ↑
(3.28) |
2.67 ↑
(2.4) |
4.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
- Recent form of Grau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sporting Cristal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cabellos C.
(Red Card)
Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Tavara M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L.
(Injury)
Sosa L.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sporting Cristal?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Atlético Grau?
Sporting Cristal has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
13.07.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
11.08.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
02.03.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
1:0
17.08.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
2:3
19.03.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 29:13 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Cusco | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 29:15 | 14 | 36 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 31 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21:28 | -7 | 27 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | AD Tarma | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:12 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Alianza Huanuco | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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