Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (446/519) | 74% (203/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (446/519) | 74% (203/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (34/55) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/117) | 57% (35/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Avila I. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A),
- 45+2', Garcia B. 🟨,
- 45+4', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Garcia B. ↓, Solis A. ↑,
- 46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
- 64', Cabellos C. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
- 67', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 72', Pacheco F. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 75', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
- 79', Rodas E. 🟨,
- 83', Avila I. ↓, Moretti J. ↑,
- 87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 88', Gonzales C. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Pasquini N. (A),
- 90+5', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
57.4% | Draw
25.2% | Atlético Grau
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.45) |
3.71 ↓
(4.6) |
5.53 ↓
(6.33) |
7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
Tavara M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grau: Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Atlético Grau?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sporting Cristal?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau were as follows:
11.08.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
02.03.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
1:0
17.08.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
2:3
19.03.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
20.10.2022
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
1:2
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
