Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.641.55
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
178
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Long passes
72% (39/54)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
80% (159/198)72% (99/137)
Crosses
32% (6/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.93
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
811
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.552.64
Goals prevented
0.55-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. , Toye M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Smith K. , Freeman A. ,
  • 58', Toye M. , Salloi D. ,
  • 68', Leibold T. , Radoja N. ,
  • 68', Munoz S. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 71', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 72', Pasalic M. , Angulo I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 78', Spicer T. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 81', Miller J. , Montes A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Atuesta E. , Gerbet J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
65.5%
Draw
18.8%
Sporting Kansas City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.1% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    5.04
    (4.5)
    6.04
    (6.5)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Yellow Cards) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Inactive) Thommy E. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 32185948:40859
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 31168768:521656
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City311410759:441552
    8Chicago Fire321561164:56851
    9Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)