Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (501/557) | 84% (418/496) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (501/557) | 84% (418/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (39/54) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (159/198) | 72% (99/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽, Toye M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Smith K. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
- 58', Toye M. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
- 68', Leibold T. ↓, Radoja N. ↑,
- 68', Munoz S. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
- 71', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
- 72', Pasalic M. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
- 78', Spicer T. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 81', Suleymanov S. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
- 81', Miller J. ↓, Montes A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ⚽,
- 86', Atuesta E. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
65.5% | Draw
18.8% | Sporting Kansas City
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.45) |
5.04 ↑
(4.5) |
6.04 ↓
(6.5) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
- Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C.
(Yellow Cards)
Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J.
(Inactive)
Thommy E.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Sporting Kansas City?
Orlando City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Orlando City?
Sporting Kansas City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
24.08.2024
Sporting Kansas City
-
Orlando City
3:0
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
