Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.641.55
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
178
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Long passes
72% (39/54)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
80% (159/198)72% (99/137)
Crosses
32% (6/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.93
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
811
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.552.64
Goals prevented
0.55-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. , Toye M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Smith K. , Freeman A. ,
  • 58', Toye M. , Salloi D. ,
  • 68', Leibold T. , Radoja N. ,
  • 68', Munoz S. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 71', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 72', Pasalic M. , Angulo I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 78', Spicer T. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 81', Miller J. , Montes A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Atuesta E. , Gerbet J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
65.5%
Draw
18.8%
Sporting Kansas City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.1% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    5.04
    (4.5)
    6.04
    (6.5)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Yellow Cards) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Inactive) Thommy E. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)