Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.352.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.641.55
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
178
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
84
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
90% (501/557)84% (418/496)
Long passes
72% (39/54)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
80% (159/198)72% (99/137)
Crosses
32% (6/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.93
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
811
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.552.64
Goals prevented
0.55-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. , Toye M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Smith K. , Freeman A. ,
  • 58', Toye M. , Salloi D. ,
  • 68', Leibold T. , Radoja N. ,
  • 68', Munoz S. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 71', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 72', Pasalic M. , Angulo I. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 78', Spicer T. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 81', Miller J. , Montes A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Atuesta E. , Gerbet J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
65.5%
Draw
18.8%
Sporting Kansas City
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.1% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    5.04
    (4.5)
    6.04
    (6.5)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 87.4%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Yellow Cards) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Inactive) Thommy E. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)