Result
1:1
02/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 17
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3, COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (189/250) | 87% (405/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (189/250) | 87% (405/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 44% (15/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 66% (55/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 38', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Quaresma E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 49', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 64', Toure T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 64', Garcia S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 70', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 77', Varela G. 🟨,
- 78', Matheus Reis ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 78', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
- 79', Inacio G. 🟥,
- 83', Hevertton S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
- 83', Ze Carlos ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 84', Ioannidis F. ↓, Romulus ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 90+2', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Romulus 🟨,
- 90+5', Fernandez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
13.7% | Draw
22.6% | Sporting Lisbon
63.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.89 ↑
(5.87) |
4.2 ↑
(3.94) |
1.49 ↓
(1.65) |
5.6%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Sporting will win (votes: 44 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 64.9% – 86.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Sporting (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Sporting (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Sporting (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sporting (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Sporting (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
- Gil Vicente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Konan G.
(International duty)
Mutombo J.
(Injury)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting: Catamo G.
(International duty)
Debast Z.
(Knee Injury)
Diomande O.
(International duty)
Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Moreira A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 13:45. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Sporting Lisbon?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Gil Vicente?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
04.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
27.02.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
22.12.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:0
12.04.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:4
04.12.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Gil Vicente
3:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
