Sporting Lisbon vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 4
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalySky Sport 255
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.831.25
Ball possession
25%75%
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
46
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
210
Passes
75% (174/232)93% (626/676)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.831.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.92
Total shots
1028
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
311
Blocked shots
311
Shots inside the box
617
Shots outside the box
411
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
1248
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1110
Passes
75% (174/232)93% (626/676)
Long passes
41% (15/37)74% (25/34)
Passes in final third
57% (25/44)86% (218/254)
Crosses
50% (1/2)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.181.71
Throw ins
710
Fouls
1011
Tackles
33% (7/21)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4150
Clearances
203
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
52
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
0.921.39
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Mangas R. 🟨,
  • 63', Mangas R. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
  • 66', Mayulu S. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
  • 71', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 80', Ruiz F. ↓, Zabarnyi I. ↑,
  • 87', Simoes J. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Trincao (A),
  • 90+5', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Trincao ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
  • 90+6', Silva R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
21.9%		Draw
22.7%		Paris Saint-Germain
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 23.4% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 23.4% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.42 ↑
    (4.07)    		 4.22 ↑
    (4.08)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.8)    		 4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - PSG (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Sporting (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Sporting (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (64 of 75 users predict this - 85.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.32% – 93.34%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 5.9%). PSG (votes: 30 - 88.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Hjulmand M. (Yellow Cards) Luis Guilherme (Inactive) Quaresma E. (Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (Rest) Hernandez L. (Red Card) Lee Kang-In (Thigh Injury) Mbaye I. (Rest) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Muscle Injury) Safonov M. (Broken Hand)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Diomande O. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Ioannidis F. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    16.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3:0 ✺
    06.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺
    02.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    28.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 4:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    16.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 3:0 ✺
    12.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    08.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 3:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Fontenay - Paris Saint-Germain 0:4 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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