Result
1:4
21/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Quinonez A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/384) | 63% (152/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/384) | 63% (152/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (71/123) | 49% (49/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.92 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Diaz F. ⚽, Colman O. (A),
- 31', Salazar V. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Sarquis E. ⚽,
- 38', Acosta D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Samudio A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 46', Feliu J. ↓, Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↑,
- 46', Costa F. ↓, Cornet R. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Valdez I. ⚽, Sarquis E. (A),
- 56', Colman O. 🟨,
- 61', Baez F. 🟨,
- 63', Molinas A. ↓, Aragon F. ↑,
- 67', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 68', Valdez I. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 68', Sarquis E. ↓, Allan Wlk ↑,
- 73', Acosta D. ↓, Arguello V. ↑,
- 73', Sanabria S. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Allan Wlk ⚽, Salazar V. (A),
- 81', Ortiz L. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 87', Bogado G. ↓, Falabella L. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Fretes S. ⚽, Allan Wlk (A),
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo
40.6% | Draw
31% | Sportivo Ameliano
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.25) |
2.98 ↑
(2.9) |
3.28 ↑
(3.2) |
7.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches 2 de Mayo won 3.
- Recent matches 2 de Mayo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sportivo Ameliano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- 2 de Mayo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams 2 de Mayo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Ameliano?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
10.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
11.11.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
2 de Mayo
0:2
29.08.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
21.05.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
02.03.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
2 de Mayo
0:2
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
