Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (275/377) | 53% (117/220) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (275/377) | 53% (117/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/74) | 35% (25/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (91/147) | 43% (38/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Alfaro J. F. (Pen),
- 25', 0 - 1, Ortiz L. ⚽, Vera F. (A),
- 27', Sarquis E. 🟨,
- 44', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Caballero G. 🟨,
- 45+4', Martinich M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 46', Sarquis E. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 46', Vera F. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 47', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 53', Colman C. 🟨,
- 60', Colman C. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 60', Caballero G. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 63', Rojas S. 🟨,
- 63', Paez A. ↓, Allan Wlk ↑,
- 70', Martinich M. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 72', Benitez G. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
- 74', Prieto R. ↓, Bareiro Munoz F. V. ↑,
- 76', Ortiz L. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 77', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 89', Allan Wlk 🟨,
- 90', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
- 90+8', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
42.6% | Draw
30.9% | Sportivo Ameliano
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.06) |
3.02 ↓
(3.07) |
3.51 ↓
(3.79) |
7.6%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.
- Nacional is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
22.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
06.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
04.08.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
05.04.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
19.01.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
