Result
3:0
29/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (120/222) | 64% (183/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (120/222) | 64% (183/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (33/82) | 30% (21/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (44/97) | 38% (32/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Baez F. 🟨,
- 34', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 39', Salazar V. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bailone I. (Pen),
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Samudio A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 46', Salazar V. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 60', Samudio A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 65', Valdez I. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 65', Nunez C. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 69', Benitez G. 🟨,
- 69', Sarquis E. 🟨,
- 77', Barrientos N. ↓, Zaracho E. ↑,
- 80', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 83', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', 🟥,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
25.3% | Draw
31.8% | Nacional Asuncion
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.09) |
2.91 ↓
(2.93) |
2.2 ↓
(2.44) |
7.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 3.
- Sportivo Ameliano is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
04.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
22.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
06.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
04.08.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
05.04.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
