Result
2:0
20/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/323) | 79% (340/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/323) | 79% (340/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (54/93) | 53% (57/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez E. ↓, Ocampos C. ↑,
- 65', Jara F. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 65', Bailone I. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 68', Maciel A. R. 🟨,
- 73', Barrientos N. 🟨,
- 74', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
- 76', Arrua C. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 76', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 78', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
- 78', Vera F. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 85', Nunez C. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 87', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 0, Caceres D. ⚽, Valdez I. (A),
- 90', Benitez J. ↓, Herrero G. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
50.3% | Draw
27.9% | Sportivo Ameliano
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.86) |
3.33 ↑
(3.23) |
4.23 ↑
(3.98) |
7.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
29.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:0
04.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
22.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
06.10.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
04.08.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 33:18 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Guarani | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 24 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
