Result
1:2
31/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 80% (335/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 80% (335/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/131) | 66% (65/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vera E. ⚽, Ayala L. (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Ocampos C. ⚽,
- 30', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Caceres L. ⚽, Quinonez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez W. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 46', Doldan J. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 46', Cespedes V. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 52', Quinonez A. 🟨,
- 55', Aranda S. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 55', Ocampos C. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 64', Alvarez A. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 64', Barrios J. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 64', Torres I. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
- 71', Ayala L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 83', Sanguina J. 🟨,
- 88', Vera E. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 90+4', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Quinonez W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
25.3% | Draw
29.9% | Sportivo Ameliano
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.33) |
3.11 ↓
(3.12) |
2.08 ↓
(2.22) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
Sportivo Ameliano will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 5).
- In recent matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sportivo Ameliano might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
31.01.2026
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
