Result
0:0
02/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 22
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (201/290) | 75% (261/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (201/290) | 75% (261/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 60% (78/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 10% (3/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Baez J. 🟨,
- 14', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
- 23', Maldonado S. ↓, Alborno R. ↑,
- 37', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 43', Salazar V. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Comas L. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
- 50', Aguilar P. 🟨,
- 55', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 60', Gonzalez W. (Pen),
- 68', Baez J. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez W. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 71', Valdez I. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 71', Sarquis E. ↓, Allan Wlk ↑,
- 84', Torres I. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 84', Samudio A. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
- 84', Zaracho E. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 90+5', Ortiz L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
25.6% | Draw
29.1% | Sportivo Ameliano
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Ameliano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.12) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
2.06 ↓
(2.38) |
7.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 77.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
- Sportivo Luqueño is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sportivo Ameliano could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
29.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
04.03.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
16.11.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:2
02.09.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:1
11.05.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
