New Zealand Warriors vs St. George Illawarra Dragons, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
14:10
15/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
2550
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
191197
Metres Run With Ball
18591746

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 10)
  • 11', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 13', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 21', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 23', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 34', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 40', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 0)
  • 63', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 65', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 74', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
59.8%
Draw
4.3%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 3.5% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 3.5% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.55)
    20.63
    (26)
    2.59
    (2.5)
    8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 4 - 80%). St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:18.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 341:381. (average 17.1:19.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 178:204. (average 16.2:18.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    10.05.2025 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 14:15
    19.04.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 30:12
    25.08.2023 New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons 18:6
    23.06.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 18:48
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2