New Zealand Warriors vs St. George Illawarra Dragons, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:10
15/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
2550
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
191197
Metres Run With Ball
18591746

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 10)
  • 11', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 13', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 21', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 23', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 34', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 40', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 0)
  • 63', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 65', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 74', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
59.8%
Draw
4.3%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 3.5% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 3.5% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.55)
    20.63
    (26)
    2.59
    (2.5)
    8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 4 - 80%). St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 48.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 46.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 44.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 40.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 42.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 43.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:18.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 341:381. (average 17.1:19.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 178:204. (average 16.2:18.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    10.05.2025 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 14:15
    19.04.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 30:12
    25.08.2023 New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons 18:6
    23.06.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors 18:48
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Newcastle Knights11028:182
    2Canterbury Bulldogs11015:142
    3Brisbane Broncos0000:00
    4Canberra Raiders0000:00
    5Cronulla Sharks0000:00
    6Gold Coast Titans0000:00
    7Manly Sea Eagles0000:00
    8Melbourne Storm0000:00
    9New Zealand Warriors0000:00
    10Parramatta Eels0000:00
    11Penrith Panthers0000:00
    12South Sydney Rabbitohs0000:00
    13Sydney Roosters0000:00
    14Wests Tigers0000:00
    15Dolphins0000:00
    16St. George Illawarra Dragons10114:150
    17NQ Cowboys10118:280

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )