St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
12/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.82
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (322/400)72% (216/302)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.42
Total shots
185
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1820
Passes
81% (322/400)72% (216/302)
Long passes
48% (27/56)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
65% (72/110)59% (48/82)
Crosses
52% (16/31)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.52
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
2020
Tackles
58% (11/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.420.97
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dorsey L. , Chandler K. (A), Mesanvi L. (A2)
  • 15', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 38', Sosnouski J. 🟨,
  • 42', Kidd M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kidd M. , Reid J. ,
  • 47', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 57', Cilley C. 🟨,
  • 65', Wentzel M. , Clancy T. ,
  • 65', Romanshyn K. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 65', Mesanvi L. , Nour M. ,
  • 65', Randell A. , Putt T. ,
  • 71', Zeruhn K. 🟨,
  • 72', Nour M. 🟨,
  • 77', Glover C. , Nwankwo C. ,
  • 78', Dorsey L. , Dennis T. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Cilley C. , Perez M. (A),
  • 84', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 89', Niang B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pearce T. , Demitra L. ,
  • 90+2', Sosnouski J. , Ortwein E. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Cilley C. (Pen),
  • 1, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 2, Perez M. (Pen),
  • 2, Torres R. (Pen),
  • 3, Jaaskelainen E. (Pen),
  • 3, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Orozco J. (Pen),
  • 4, Putt T. (Pen),
  • 5, Kuzain W. (Pen),
  • 5, Chandler K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


St. Louis City 2
58.5%
Draw
20.7%
Minnesota United 2
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.3% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City 2's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.72)
    4.8
    (3.8)
    4.79
    (3.95)
    0.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City 2 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0
    18.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3
    15.09.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:3
    18.08.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    03.05.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:2
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II271352749:3551
    4Chicago Fire II271242966:5546
    5Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    6Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    7New York City II279241250:5735
    8Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga271344641:3551
    2Huntsville271342853:3249
    3Carolina Core27855942:4139
    4Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    5Orlando City B279421237:5137
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II276151538:6725


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC271442758:3452
    2Real Monarchs271244751:4148
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22711411160:5042
    4Ventura County2711241048:4941
    5Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    6Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    7Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2271751459:3562
    2Colorado Rapids 2271414853:4048
    3Minnesota 22711241042:4141
    4North Texas2710421142:5440
    5Austin FC II279351033:3538
    6Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    7Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 271352749:3551
    4Chattanooga ✔ 271344641:3551
    5Huntsville ✔ 271342853:3249
    6Chicago Fire II ✔ 271242966:5546
    7Carolina Core27855942:4139
    8Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    9Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    10Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    11Orlando City B279421237:5137
    12New York City II279241250:5735
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II276151538:6725
    15Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 271751459:3562
    2Town FC ✔ 271442758:3452
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 271414853:4048
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 271244751:4148
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ 2711411160:5042
    6Minnesota 2 ✔ 2711241042:4141
    7Ventura County ✔ 2711241048:4941
    8North Texas2710421142:5440
    9Austin FC II279351033:3538
    10Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    11Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    12Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    13Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733
    14Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)