St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
12/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.82
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (322/400)72% (216/302)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.42
Total shots
185
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1820
Passes
81% (322/400)72% (216/302)
Long passes
48% (27/56)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
65% (72/110)59% (48/82)
Crosses
52% (16/31)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.52
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
2020
Tackles
58% (11/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.420.97
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dorsey L. , Chandler K. (A), Mesanvi L. (A2)
  • 15', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 38', Sosnouski J. 🟨,
  • 42', Kidd M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kidd M. , Reid J. ,
  • 47', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 57', Cilley C. 🟨,
  • 65', Wentzel M. , Clancy T. ,
  • 65', Romanshyn K. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 65', Mesanvi L. , Nour M. ,
  • 65', Randell A. , Putt T. ,
  • 71', Zeruhn K. 🟨,
  • 72', Nour M. 🟨,
  • 77', Glover C. , Nwankwo C. ,
  • 78', Dorsey L. , Dennis T. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Cilley C. , Perez M. (A),
  • 84', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 89', Niang B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pearce T. , Demitra L. ,
  • 90+2', Sosnouski J. , Ortwein E. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Cilley C. (Pen),
  • 1, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 2, Perez M. (Pen),
  • 2, Torres R. (Pen),
  • 3, Jaaskelainen E. (Pen),
  • 3, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Orozco J. (Pen),
  • 4, Putt T. (Pen),
  • 5, Kuzain W. (Pen),
  • 5, Chandler K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


St. Louis City 2
58.5%
Draw
20.7%
Minnesota United 2
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.3% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City 2's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.72)
    4.8
    (3.8)
    4.79
    (3.95)
    0.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City 2 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0
    18.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3
    15.09.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:3
    18.08.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    03.05.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:2
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II241242658:4046
    5Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    8Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga241143639:3544
    2Huntsville251142848:3143
    3Carolina Core25844939:3836
    4Orlando City B259321134:4735
    5Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    6Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    7Inter Miami II256051436:6223


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC241242652:3246
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    3Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    4Ventura County241024845:4238
    5Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    6Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    7Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2251641456:3357
    2Colorado Rapids 2251314748:3745
    3Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    4Austin FC II25935831:3138
    5North Texas259421038:4937
    6Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    7Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II ✔ 241242658:4046
    5Chattanooga241143639:3544
    6Huntsville251142848:3143
    7Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    8Carolina Core25844939:3836
    9Orlando City B259321134:4735
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    12Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    13Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    14Inter Miami II256051436:6223
    15Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 251641456:3357
    2Town FC241242652:3246
    3Colorado Rapids 2251314748:3745
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    5Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    6Ventura County241024845:4238
    7Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    8Austin FC II25935831:3138
    9North Texas259421038:4937
    10Houston Dynamo 2258421135:3934
    11Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    12Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    13Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127
    14Sporting Kansas City II253231726:6016

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)