St. Louis City 2 vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County
Result
2:1 penalties
16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.65
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
82% (271/331)80% (254/318)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.630.14
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
82% (271/331)80% (254/318)
Long passes
52% (32/61)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)66% (67/101)
Crosses
30% (6/20)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.87
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1519
Tackles
69% (11/16)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.142.63
Goals prevented
-0.861.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Antwi S. 🟨,
  • 23', Kidd M. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Musto T. , Sullivan N. (A), Bucknor J. (A2)
  • 45+2', Tsakiris M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Kidd M. , McSorley B. (A),
  • 64', Glover C. 🟨,
  • 65', Tsakiris M. , Kocevski J. ,
  • 67', Kuzain W. 🟨,
  • 71', Chavez E. , Marion S. ,
  • 73', Miller H. 🟨,
  • 78', Glover C. , Cornelius L. ,
  • 83', Kidd M. , Clancy T. ,
  • 88', Bucknor J. , Dalgado R. ,
  • 90+1', Sullivan N. , Garcia V. ,
  • 90+2', Kocevski J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 1, Joyner M. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 2, Mikina G. (Pen),
  • 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 3, Kuzain W. (Pen),
  • 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
  • 4, Cilley C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


St. Louis City 2
57.9%
Draw
21.5%
Ventura County
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 22.9% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 21.8% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.7)
    4.24
    (4)
    4.43
    (3.94)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City 2 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ventura County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St. Louis City 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1
    29.09.2024 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 2:3
    02.08.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    5Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    6New York City II20723837:4028
    7Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    8Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville18932439:1935
    2Chattanooga20833631:3133
    3Carolina Core20544726:2727
    4Orlando City B207211027:4126
    5Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    6Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    7Atlanta United 218326724:3119


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC17922442:2433
    3Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    5Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    3Austin FC II19734525:2231
    4North Texas19821833:3929
    5Minnesota 219713830:3126
    6Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    7Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4Huntsville18932439:1935
    5New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    6Chattanooga20833631:3133
    7Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    8New York City II20723837:4028
    9Carolina Core20544726:2727
    10Orlando City B207211027:4126
    11Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    12Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    13Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    14Atlanta United 218326724:3119
    15Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    4Town FC17922442:2433
    5Austin FC II19734525:2231
    6North Texas19821833:3929
    7Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    9Minnesota 219713830:3126
    10Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    11Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123
    14Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611

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