Result
3:0
19/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/420) | 76% (287/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.30 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/420) | 76% (287/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (38/67) | 45% (31/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (124/190) | 64% (62/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (21/24) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 4.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Middleby M. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Middleby M. ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 56', Dalgado R. 🟨,
- 60', Orozco J. 🟨,
- 64', Kidd M. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, McSorley B. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
- 82', Pearce T. ↓, Glover C. ↑,
- 83', Orozco J. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, McSorley B. ⚽, Jaaskelainen E. (A),
- 89', Dalgado R. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
- 90', McSorley B. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City 2
65.9% | Draw
19.4% | Ventura County
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.42) |
4.74 ↓
(4.88) |
6.24 ↑
(6.05) |
8.7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, St. Louis City 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ventura County has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, St. Louis City 2 is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Ventura County?
St. Louis City 2 has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against St. Louis City 2?
Ventura County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County were as follows:
16.07.2025
St. Louis City 2
-
Ventura County
2:1
13.04.2025
Ventura County
-
St. Louis City 2
3:1
29.09.2024
Ventura County
-
St. Louis City 2
2:3
02.08.2024
St. Louis City 2
-
Ventura County
2:3
Latest results of St. Louis City 2
Latest results of Ventura County
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
