St. Louis City 2 vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.65
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
82% (271/331)	80% (254/318)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.63	0.14
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
20	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
19	15
Passes
82% (271/331)	80% (254/318)
Long passes
52% (32/61)	53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)	66% (67/101)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.87
Throw-ins
18	16
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
69% (11/16)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances
27	18
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.14	2.63
Goals prevented
-0.86	1.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Antwi S. 🟨,
23', Kidd M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Musto T. ⚽, Sullivan N. (A), Bucknor J. (A2)
45+2', Tsakiris M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽, McSorley B. (A),
64', Glover C. 🟨,
65', Tsakiris M. ↓, Kocevski J. ↑,
67', Kuzain W. 🟨,
71', Chavez E. ↓, Marion S. ↑,
73', Miller H. 🟨,
78', Glover C. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
83', Kidd M. ↓, Clancy T. ↑,
88', Bucknor J. ↓, Dalgado R. ↑,
90+1', Sullivan N. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
90+2', Kocevski J. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Musto T. (Pen),
1, Joyner M. (Pen),
2, Pepe (Pen),
2, Mikina G. (Pen),
3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
3, Kuzain W. (Pen),
4, Vanney D. (Pen),
4, Cilley C. (Pen),

Chances of winning

St. Louis City 2
57.9%

Draw
21.5%

Ventura County
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

21.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	4.24 ↑ (4)	4.43 ↑ (3.94)	9.7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
St. Louis City 2 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Ventura County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
St. Louis City 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Ventura County?

St. Louis City 2 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against St. Louis City 2?

Ventura County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County were as follows:

13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1

29.09.2024 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 2:3

02.08.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:3

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

11.07.2025 Austin II - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

06.07.2025 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3 ✺

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

03.07.2025 Ventura County - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:2 ✺

29.06.2025 The Town - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County 2:3 ✺

01.06.2025 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 4:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
3	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
4	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
5	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
6	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
7	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
5	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
4	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
5	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
11	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
12	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
6	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
9	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
10	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
11	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
12	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
13	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)