Result
2:1 penalties
16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.64 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (271/331) | 80% (254/318) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.63 | 0.14 |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
82% (271/331) | 80% (254/318) |
Long passes |
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52% (32/61) | 53% (26/49) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (55/86) | 66% (67/101) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.13 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 16 |
Fouls |
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15 | 19 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
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52 | 54 |
Clearances |
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27 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.14 | 2.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.86 | 1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Antwi S. 🟨,
- 23', Kidd M. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Musto T. ⚽, Sullivan N. (A), Bucknor J. (A2)
- 45+2', Tsakiris M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽, McSorley B. (A),
- 64', Glover C. 🟨,
- 65', Tsakiris M. ↓, Kocevski J. ↑,
- 67', Kuzain W. 🟨,
- 71', Chavez E. ↓, Marion S. ↑,
- 73', Miller H. 🟨,
- 78', Glover C. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
- 83', Kidd M. ↓, Clancy T. ↑,
- 88', Bucknor J. ↓, Dalgado R. ↑,
- 90+1', Sullivan N. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
- 90+2', Kocevski J. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Musto T. (Pen),
- 1, Joyner M. (Pen),
- 2, Pepe (Pen),
- 2, Mikina G. (Pen),
- 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
- 3, Kuzain W. (Pen),
- 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
- 4, Cilley C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
St. Louis City 2 57.9% | Draw 21.5% | Ventura County 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.7) |
4.24 ↑ (4) |
4.43 ↑ (3.94) |
9.7% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- St. Louis City 2 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Ventura County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- St. Louis City 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
- We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Ventura County?
St. Louis City 2 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against St. Louis City 2?
Ventura County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County were as follows:
13.04.2025
Ventura County
-
St. Louis City 2
3:1
29.09.2024
Ventura County
-
St. Louis City 2
2:3
02.08.2024
St. Louis City 2
-
Ventura County
2:3
Latest results of St. Louis City 2
Latest results of Ventura County
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 49:33 | 36 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
5 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24:31 | 28 |
6 | New York City II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 37:40 | 28 |
7 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 33 |
3 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
4 | Orlando City B | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 27:41 | 26 |
5 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
6 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 24:31 | 19 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
2 | Town FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42:24 | 33 |
3 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 31:32 | 29 |
4 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 30:36 | 24 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
3 | Austin FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 31 |
4 | North Texas | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 33:39 | 29 |
5 | Minnesota 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30:31 | 26 |
6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29:31 | 26 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18:46 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 49:33 | 36 |
4 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
5 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
6 | Chattanooga | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 33 |
7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24:31 | 28 |
8 | New York City II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 37:40 | 28 |
9 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
10 | Orlando City B | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 27:41 | 26 |
11 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
12 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
13 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
14 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 24:31 | 19 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
4 | Town FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42:24 | 33 |
5 | Austin FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 31 |
6 | North Texas | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 33:39 | 29 |
7 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 31:32 | 29 |
8 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
9 | Minnesota 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30:31 | 26 |
10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29:31 | 26 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 30:36 | 24 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18:46 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)