St. Louis City vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO).

MLS
Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	1.90
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Passes
82% (338/411)	82% (333/407)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	1.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.06	1.84
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Touches in opposition box
35	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
82% (338/411)	82% (333/407)
Long passes
55% (35/64)	38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)	62% (61/99)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.14	0.23
Throw-ins
14	11
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
79% (15/19)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
50	46
Clearances
25	26
Interceptions
7	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.84	1.06
Goals prevented
-0.16	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gressel J. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
46', Diaz J. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
47', Wallem C. 🟨,
56', Markanich A. 🟨,
63', Padelford D. ↓, Durkin C. ↑,
63', Jeong S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
71', Rosales J. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
73', Durkin C. 🟥,
75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
77', Lowen E. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
77', Ostrak T. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
78', Joao Klauss ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
83', Markanich A. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
90+9', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Hille L. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Louis City
37%

Draw
26.1%

Minnesota United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

28.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.83)	3.64 ↑ (3.51)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	5.4% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Pereyra J. (Yellow Cards) Romero N. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Minnesota United?

St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against St. Louis City?

Minnesota United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:

21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2

17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0

19.10.2024 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 4:1

14.09.2024 St. Louis City - Minnesota United 1:3

23.09.2023 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 1:2

Latest results of St. Louis City

19.07.2025 FC Dallas - St. Louis City 3:0 ✺

13.07.2025 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 3:2 ✺

25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺

14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United

19.07.2025 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 1:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Minnesota United - Los Angeles 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1 ✺

08.07.2025 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

07.07.2025 Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel 0:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)