St. Louis City vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS St. Louis City - Minnesota United
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.84
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Long passes
55% (35/64)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)62% (61/99)
Crosses
30% (7/23)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.23
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
1312
Tackles
79% (15/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.841.06
Goals prevented
-0.160.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 46', Diaz J. , Lod R. ,
  • 47', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 56', Markanich A. 🟨,
  • 63', Padelford D. , Durkin C. ,
  • 63', Jeong S. , Becher S. ,
  • 71', Rosales J. , Gene O. ,
  • 73', Durkin C. 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 77', Lowen E. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 77', Ostrak T. , Morales A. ,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Teuchert C. ,
  • 83', Markanich A. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Oluwaseyi T. , Hille L. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
37%
Draw
26.1%
Minnesota United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.3% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.83)
    3.64
    (3.51)
    2.56
    (2.44)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Pereyra J. (Yellow Cards) Romero N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2
    17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0
    19.10.2024 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 4:1
    14.09.2024 St. Louis City - Minnesota United 1:3
    23.09.2023 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)