St. Louis City vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.84
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Long passes
55% (35/64)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)62% (61/99)
Crosses
30% (7/23)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.23
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
1312
Tackles
79% (15/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.841.06
Goals prevented
-0.160.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 46', Diaz J. , Lod R. ,
  • 47', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 56', Markanich A. 🟨,
  • 63', Padelford D. , Durkin C. ,
  • 63', Jeong S. , Becher S. ,
  • 71', Rosales J. , Gene O. ,
  • 73', Durkin C. 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 77', Lowen E. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 77', Ostrak T. , Morales A. ,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Teuchert C. ,
  • 83', Markanich A. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Oluwaseyi T. , Hille L. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
37%
Draw
26.1%
Minnesota United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.3% 37.6%

St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.83)
3.64
(3.51)
2.56
(2.44)
5.4%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Minnesota United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Minnesota (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Pereyra J. (Yellow Cards) Romero N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2
    17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0
    19.10.2024 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 4:1
    14.09.2024 St. Louis City - Minnesota United 1:3
    23.09.2023 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)