San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
54.7%
Draw
22.2%
St. Louis City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.3% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 20.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.49)
    4.28
    (4.39)
    4.05
    (5.95)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Louis City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Jose is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City were as follows:
    31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)