St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.78
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
82% (300/364)83% (334/401)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.06
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
3326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
82% (300/364)83% (334/401)
Long passes
42% (19/45)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)72% (92/128)
Crosses
26% (5/19)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.88
Throw-ins
818
Fouls
1815
Tackles
68% (13/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
3626
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.061.31
Goals prevented
0.15-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Joao Klauss 🟨,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 41', Teuchert C. , Silva X. ,
  • 43', Silva X. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss , Lowen E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Durkin C. , Kessler H. ,
  • 60', Lopez H. , Espinoza C. ,
  • 61', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 61', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 62', Reid J. , Totland T. ,
  • 66', Ricketts J. , Vitor Costa ,
  • 73', Zalinsky J. , Morales A. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 79', Lima N. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Martinez J. , Vitor Costa (A), Leroux B. (A2)
  • 90+1', Edwards E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Wallem C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
53.1%
Draw
22.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 26.6% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.34)
    4.23
    (3.45)
    3.93
    (2.7)
    4%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - San Jose (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Louis City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Morales A. (Groin Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Arango C. (Hamstring Injury) Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Daniel (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)