Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/437) | 77% (252/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/437) | 77% (252/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (140/171) | 63% (70/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 2.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, McSorley B. ⚽, Joao Klauss (A), Durkin C. (A2)
- 19', 0 - 2, Hartel M. ⚽, McSorley B. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
- 31', 1 - 2, Arango C. (Pen),
- 45', 1 - 3, McSorley B. ⚽, Hartel M. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
- 45+2', Vieira R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pompeu C. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 63', Wilson Valdez B. R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 63', Kaye M. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
- 72', Judd P. 🟨,
- 78', McSorley B. ↓, Totland T. ↑,
- 79', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 79', Vitor Costa ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
- 79', Judd P. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
- 81', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
- 81', Becher S. 🟨,
- 82', Durkin C. ↓, Antwi S. ↑,
- 88', Hartel M. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 89', Espinoza C. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes
55.5% | Draw
21.3% | St. Louis City
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.49) |
4.48 ↑
(4.39) |
4.08 ↓
(5.95) |
5.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 6 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
- San Jose has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Louis City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Jose is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Roberts R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against St. Louis City?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City were as follows:
31.05.2025
St. Louis City
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:1
21.09.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
St. Louis City
1:2
03.07.2024
St. Louis City
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
24.06.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
St. Louis City
1:2
18.03.2023
St. Louis City
-
San Jose Earthquakes
3:0
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of St. Louis City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
