San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.73
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (360/437)77% (252/327)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.232.81
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
1612
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
82% (360/437)77% (252/327)
Long passes
64% (35/55)46% (31/67)
Passes in final third
82% (140/171)63% (70/112)
Crosses
35% (15/43)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.781.41
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1613
Tackles
90% (9/10)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
2.813.23
Goals prevented
-0.192.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, McSorley B. , Joao Klauss (A), Durkin C. (A2)
  • 19', 0 - 2, Hartel M. , McSorley B. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
  • 31', 1 - 2, Arango C. (Pen),
  • 45', 1 - 3, McSorley B. , Hartel M. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Vieira R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pompeu C. , Joyner M. ,
  • 63', Wilson Valdez B. R. , Martinez J. ,
  • 63', Kaye M. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 72', Judd P. 🟨,
  • 78', McSorley B. , Totland T. ,
  • 79', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 79', Vitor Costa , Ricketts J. ,
  • 79', Judd P. , Leroux B. ,
  • 81', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
  • 81', Becher S. 🟨,
  • 82', Durkin C. , Antwi S. ,
  • 88', Hartel M. , Morales A. ,
  • 89', Espinoza C. , Skahan J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
55.5%
Draw
21.3%
St. Louis City
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.3% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 20.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.49)
    4.48
    (4.39)
    4.08
    (5.95)
    5.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • San Jose has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Louis City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Jose is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Jones D. (Lower-Body Injury) Roberts R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City were as follows:
    31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2