Result
2:2
23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 17
- Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/313) | 72% (262/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/313) | 72% (262/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/72) | 48% (34/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (57/103) | 61% (93/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lonergan T. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Melia M. ⚽, Redmond J. (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Melia M. ⚽,
- 38', Hoare S. 🟨,
- 40', McDonald R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Leahy D. 🟨,
- 57', Mulraney J. ↓, Power S. ↑,
- 57', Forrester C. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
- 64', White K. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
- 74', Leavy K. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
- 76', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Noonan C. ⚽,
- 83', Lonergan T. 🟨,
- 85', Glenfield S. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 90+2', Baggley B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Burke R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
61.7% | Draw
22% | Waterford United
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Waterford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.46) |
4.28 ↓
(4.39) |
5.75 ↓
(6.49) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
- St Patricks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Waterford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, St Patricks is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Forrester C.
(Injury)
Lennon J.
(Yellow Cards)
Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Waterford: Boyle A.
(Calf Injury)
Coyle T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Leavy K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waterford: Radkowski K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Waterford United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United were as follows:
28.03.2025
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
20.09.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
3:0
04.07.2024
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
19.04.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
1:1
04.03.2024
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
3:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30:22 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Waterford | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 30 |
| 8 | Galway | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 23 |
| 10 | Cork City | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
