Result
0:2
03/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 26
- Referee: Murphy D. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (254/333) | 78% (283/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (254/333) | 78% (283/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (46/78) | 63% (79/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', McMullan S. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Melia M. ⚽, Leavy K. (A),
- 38', Breslin A. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
- 40', Grivosti T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Horton G. ↓, Miles J. ↑,
- 60', Armstrong F. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
- 60', McDonald R. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
- 65', Olayinka J. 🟨,
- 75', Mulraney J. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 76', Melia M. ↓, Power S. ↑,
- 76', Kazeem A. 🟨,
- 79', Miles J. 🟨,
- 81', Amond P. 🟨,
- 81', Forrester C. 🟨,
- 81', Lennon J. 🟨,
- 82', Rossiter J. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Carty C. ⚽, Kavanagh B. (A),
- 85', Boyle A. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 90', Kavanagh B. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
- 90', Forrester C. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
- 90+5', Robinson D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waterford United
26.3% | Draw
27.6% | St Patricks Athletic
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(3.58) |
3.39 ↓
(3.52) |
2.03 ↓
(2.05) |
7.3%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1.
- Waterford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- St Patricks could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Waterford: Radkowski K.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in St Patricks: Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Waterford United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
23.05.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
2:2
28.03.2025
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
20.09.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
3:0
04.07.2024
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
19.04.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
1:1
Latest results of Waterford United
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 33:26 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Derry City | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Waterford | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 8 | Galway | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
