St Patricks Athletic vs Waterford United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Richmond Park (Dublin).

: Premier Division - Round 17
Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.85
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
1	11
Passes
75% (235/313)	72% (262/364)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	2.12
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
1	11
Touches in opposition box
13	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
75% (235/313)	72% (262/364)
Long passes
49% (35/72)	48% (34/71)
Passes in final third
55% (57/103)	61% (93/152)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.21
Throw-ins
23	28
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
73% (11/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
40	30
Clearances
32	15
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.12	0.66
Goals prevented
0.12	-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Lonergan T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Melia M. ⚽, Redmond J. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Melia M. ⚽,
38', Hoare S. 🟨,
40', McDonald R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Leahy D. 🟨,
57', Mulraney J. ↓, Power S. ↑,
57', Forrester C. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
64', White K. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
74', Leavy K. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
76', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Noonan C. ⚽,
83', Lonergan T. 🟨,
85', Glenfield S. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
90+2', Baggley B. 🟨,
90+6', Burke R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St Patricks Athletic
61.7%

Draw
22%

Waterford United
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Waterford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.28 ↓ (4.39)	5.75 ↓ (6.49)	6.5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
St Patricks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Waterford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St Patricks is a strong favorite.
There will not play in St Patricks: Forrester C. (Injury) Lennon J. (Yellow Cards) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Waterford: Boyle A. (Calf Injury) Coyle T. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Leavy K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Waterford: Radkowski K. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Waterford United?

St Patricks Athletic has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against St Patricks Athletic?

Waterford United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United were as follows:

28.03.2025 Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic 1:2

20.09.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United 3:0

04.07.2024 Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic 1:0

19.04.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United 1:1

04.03.2024 Waterford United - St Patricks Athletic 3:1

Latest results of St Patricks Athletic

19.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 4:0 ✺

16.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Cork City 3:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic 2:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 1:0 ✺

02.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Galway United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Waterford United

16.05.2025 Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers 1:3 ✺

09.05.2025 Waterford United - Galway United 1:0 ✺

05.05.2025 Shelbourne - Waterford United 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Bohemians Dublin - Waterford United 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Waterford United - Derry City 2:1 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	24	14	6	4	42:21	21	48
2	Derry City	22	11	4	7	28:22	6	37
3	Bohemians	22	12	1	9	27:22	5	37
4	Drogheda	24	8	11	5	28:25	3	35
5	Shelbourne	24	7	11	6	27:26	1	32
6	St. Patricks	24	8	7	9	27:27	0	31
7	Galway	22	7	8	7	27:26	1	29
8	Waterford	22	8	3	11	24:35	-11	27
9	Sligo Rovers	22	5	4	13	26:37	-11	19
10	Cork City	22	2	9	11	23:38	-15	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ireland	LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
United-kingdom	Virgin TV Go app