Result
1:1
24/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (483/556) | 69% (190/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (483/556) | 69% (190/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 42% (30/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (142/173) | 56% (67/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Bakboord N. 🟨,
- 39', Grivosti T. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Melia M. ⚽, McClelland J. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Burke R. ⚽, Noonan C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Power S. ↓, Garrick J. ↑,
- 64', Bakboord N. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 64', Dempsey J. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 70', Glenfield S. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 71', Forrester C. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
- 71', Baggley B. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
- 73', Leahy D. 🟨,
- 82', Smith M. 🟨,
- 82', Leavy K. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 82', Lonergan T. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 85', Radkowski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
65.2% | Draw
20.3% | Waterford United
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Waterford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.39) |
4.7 ↓
(4.92) |
6.4 ↓
(7.04) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 3.
- St Patricks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Waterford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, St Patricks is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Waterford: Horton G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Breslin A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Waterford United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Waterford United were as follows:
03.08.2025
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:2
23.05.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
2:2
28.03.2025
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
20.09.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford United
3:0
04.07.2024
Waterford United
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 39:52 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
