Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 3.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (217/318) | 81% (413/509) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 3.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (217/318) | 81% (413/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (56/116) | 73% (124/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Turner L. ⚽, McClelland J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Glenfield S. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 52', Heeney L. 🟨,
- 56', Palmer R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 64', Heeney L. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
- 64', Edmondson R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Turner L. ⚽, Keena A. (A),
- 73', Zborowski A. ↓, Houston J. ↑,
- 74', Lonergan T. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 79', Mansfield R. 🟨,
- 86', McMenamy D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Redmond J. ↓, Grivosti T. ↑,
- 90+4', Leavy K. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 90+5', McClelland J. ↓, Bartley R. ↑,
- 90+6', Hoare S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waterford
19.8% | Draw
25.7% | St Patricks Athletic
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Waterford - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(4.41) |
3.67 ↓
(3.77) |
1.72 ↓
(1.77) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford - St Patricks Athletic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH +1, 2nd Half - St Patricks (5.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1, 1st Half - St Patricks (6.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - St Patricks (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Patricks Athletic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.
- Waterford has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games.
- In this match, St Patricks is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against St Patricks Athletic?
Waterford has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Waterford?
St Patricks Athletic has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
24.10.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford
1:1
03.08.2025
Waterford
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:2
23.05.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford
2:2
28.03.2025
Waterford
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
20.09.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Waterford
3:0
Latest results of Waterford
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
