Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
fijiFijiSky Pacific
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
Ball Possession
81%19%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.28
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4011
Accurate through passes
41
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
85
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Long passes
72% (39/54)26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
84% (264/316)46% (18/39)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
3.410.24
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
58
Tackles
63% (5/8)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.281.79
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hountondji A. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 18', Hountondji A. , Sinani D. ,
  • 39', Mets K. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laimer K. , Olise M. ,
  • 65', Karl L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 65', Guerreiro R. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 68', Irvine J. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 68', Ritzka L. , Oppie L. ,
  • 77', Kim Min-Jae , Goretzka L. ,
  • 83', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 83', Pavlovic A. , Jackson N. ,
  • 87', Pereira Lage M. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Diaz L. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Jackson N. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
87%
Draw
9.4%
St. Pauli
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85.6% 10% 4.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.11)
    10.24
    (9.51)
    26.67
    (21.35)
    3.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.6%95%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - St. Pauli were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2
    09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga