Result
11/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
13.6% | Draw
19.3% | Bayern Munich
67.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.07 ↓
(8.2) |
5.01 ↓
(5.63) |
1.43 ↑
(1.33) |
4.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 39% – 74.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - St. Pauli (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - St. Pauli (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (6.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 4 - 80%). Bayern (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- St. Pauli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J.
(Red Card)
Jones R.J.
(Ankle Injury)
Saliakas M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sands J.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M.
(Thigh Injury)
Karl L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kiala C.
(Ankle Injury)
Mike W.
(Hip Injury)
Ulreich S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayern Munich?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against St. Pauli?
Bayern Munich has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayern Munich were as follows:
29.11.2025
Bayern Munich
-
St. Pauli
3:1
29.03.2025
Bayern Munich
-
St. Pauli
3:2
09.11.2024
St. Pauli
-
Bayern Munich
0:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 100:27 | 73 | 73 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 60:28 | 32 | 64 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 55:36 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 52:53 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Mainz | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35:43 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35:48 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:45 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:63 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29:63 | -34 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
