Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
fijiFijiSky Pacific
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
Ball Possession
81%19%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.28
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4011
Accurate through passes
41
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
85
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Long passes
72% (39/54)26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
84% (264/316)46% (18/39)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
3.410.24
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
58
Tackles
63% (5/8)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.281.79
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hountondji A. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 18', Hountondji A. , Sinani D. ,
  • 39', Mets K. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laimer K. , Olise M. ,
  • 65', Karl L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 65', Guerreiro R. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 68', Irvine J. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 68', Ritzka L. , Oppie L. ,
  • 77', Kim Min-Jae , Goretzka L. ,
  • 83', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 83', Pavlovic A. , Jackson N. ,
  • 87', Pereira Lage M. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Diaz L. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Jackson N. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
87%
Draw
9.4%
St. Pauli
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85.6% 10% 4.4%

Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.11
(1.11)
10.24
(9.51)
26.67
(21.35)
3.8%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.6%95%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - St. Pauli were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2
    09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich20163174:185651
    2Dortmund20136141:192245
    3Hoffenheim20133443:232042
    4Stuttgart20123537:261139
    5RB Leipzig20113638:271136
    6Bayer Leverkusen19112638:261235
    7Freiburg2076731:33-227
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2076740:45-527
    9Union Berlin2066825:33-824
    10FC Koln2065929:32-323
    11Augsburg20641024:37-1322
    12B. Monchengladbach2056924:33-921
    13Hamburger SV1947819:29-1019
    14Wolfsburg20541128:42-1419
    15Werder Bremen2047922:38-1619
    16Mainz20461023:33-1018
    17St. Pauli20351218:34-1614
    18Heidenheim20341319:45-2613

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga