Result
1:0
03/05/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Nova Sports |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport |
 Germany | Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 423 | 505 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 349 | 430 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 82 | 112 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Muheim M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Meffert J. 🟨,
- 69', Baumgart S. 🟨,
- 71', Poreba L. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
- 78', Eggestein J. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
- 79', Saliakas M. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽,
- 86', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 86', Metcalfe C. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 86', Kemlein A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
- 87', Meffert J. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
- 89', Afolayan O. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
- 90+3', Dompe J. ↓, Oztunali L. ↑,
- 90+3', Glatzel R. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
- 90+7', Saliakas M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Reis L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
42.2% | Draw
25.8% | St. Pauli
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamburger SV - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.62) |
3.7 ↓
(3.72) |
2.96 ↑
(2.47) |
5.3%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
Hamburger SV will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against St. Pauli?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hamburger SV?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - St. Pauli were as follows:
01.12.2023
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
2:2
21.04.2023
Hamburger SV
-
St. Pauli
4:3
14.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
3:0
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Hannover | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Paderborn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Schalke | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Elversberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Dusseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
