Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.64
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
12	13
Shots on Goal
6	3
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Free Kicks
5	8
Corner Kicks
5	1
Offsides
3	0
Throw-ins
10	7
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Fouls
15	11
Red Cards
0	1
Yellow Cards
3	3
Total Passes
423	505
Completed Passes
349	430
Tackles
19	25
Attacks
82	112
Dangerous Attacks
43	49
Clearances Completed
29	11
Crosses Completed
5	5
Interceptions
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Muheim M. 🟨,
45+4', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Meffert J. 🟨,
69', Baumgart S. 🟨,
71', Poreba L. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
78', Eggestein J. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
79', Saliakas M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽,
86', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
86', Metcalfe C. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
86', Kemlein A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
87', Meffert J. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
89', Afolayan O. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
90+3', Dompe J. ↓, Oztunali L. ↑,
90+3', Glatzel R. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
90+7', Saliakas M. 🟨,
90+7', Reis L. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
42.2%

Draw
25.8%

St. Pauli
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger SV - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.96 ↑ (2.47)	5.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against St. Pauli?

Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hamburger SV?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - St. Pauli were as follows:

01.12.2023 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 2:2

21.04.2023 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 4:3

14.10.2022 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 3:0

Latest results of Hamburger SV

27.04.2024 Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV 0:4 ✺

20.04.2024 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

14.04.2024 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺

06.04.2024 Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern 2:1 ✺

31.03.2024 Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

26.04.2024 St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock 1:0 ✺

21.04.2024 Hannover - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

14.04.2024 St. Pauli - Elversberg 3:4 ✺

06.04.2024 Karlsruher - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺

31.03.2024 St. Pauli - Paderborn 2:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SG Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Schalke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Hannover	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hertha Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Which TV channels are streaming of Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports