Result
1:0
03/05/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Cyprus | Nova Sports |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport |
Germany | Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
Greece | Nova Sports |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport |
Poland | Viaplay |
Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
Serbia | SportKlub |
Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.49 | 1.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
10 | 7 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Total Passes |
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423 | 505 |
Completed Passes |
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349 | 430 |
Tackles |
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19 | 25 |
Attacks |
---|
82 | 112 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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43 | 49 |
Clearances Completed |
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29 | 11 |
Crosses Completed |
---|
5 | 5 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Muheim M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Meffert J. 🟨,
- 69', Baumgart S. 🟨,
- 71', Poreba L. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
- 78', Eggestein J. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
- 79', Saliakas M. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽,
- 86', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 86', Metcalfe C. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 86', Kemlein A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
- 87', Meffert J. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
- 89', Afolayan O. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
- 90+3', Dompe J. ↓, Oztunali L. ↑,
- 90+3', Glatzel R. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
- 90+7', Saliakas M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Reis L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV 42.2% | Draw 25.8% | St. Pauli 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamburger SV - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.62) |
3.7 ↓ (3.72) |
2.96 ↑ (2.47) |
5.3% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
Hamburger SV will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against St. Pauli?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hamburger SV?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - St. Pauli were as follows:
01.12.2023
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
2:2
21.04.2023
Hamburger SV
-
St. Pauli
4:3
14.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
3:0
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Schalke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga