Result
0:2
29/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 2
- Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1 |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, HBO Max, TNT Sports |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Sport 4 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3, Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | TVWan |
North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.48 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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5 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Passes |
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82% (364/443) | 82% (391/477) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.48 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.18 | 1.61 |
Total shots |
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5 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 2 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 13 |
Passes |
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82% (364/443) | 82% (391/477) |
Long passes |
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40% (23/58) | 48% (29/61) |
Passes in final third |
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58% (55/95) | 70% (103/148) |
Crosses |
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20% (2/10) | 17% (3/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.80 | 0.91 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 26 |
Fouls |
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13 | 19 |
Tackles |
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63% (10/16) | 63% (17/27) |
Duels won |
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59 | 49 |
Clearances |
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34 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.61 | 0.18 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.39 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Dzwigala A. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
- 26', Gocholeishvili G. 🟨,
- 37', Sinani D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Pyrka A. 🟨,
- 56', Sahiti E. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 56', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
- 59', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Hountondji A. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
- 64', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
- 69', Hountondji A. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 75', Elfadli D. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
- 75', Capaldo N. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 77', Gocholeishvili G. 🟨,
- 82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
- 82', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 82', Dzwigala A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV 31.6% | Draw 31.6% | St. Pauli 36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamburger SV's form might have worsened.St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hamburger SV - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.44 ↑ (2.26) |
3.31 ↓ (3.47) |
2.8 ↓ (3.17) |
-4.9% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 18 - 38.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 13 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 24.4% – 52.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 3 - 23.1%). St. Pauli (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - St. Pauli (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 3.
- Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Pauli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Ceesay A.
(Foot Injury)
Irvine J.
(Foot Injury)
Jones R.J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hamburg: Glatzel R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jatta B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against St. Pauli?
Hamburger SV has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hamburger SV?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - St. Pauli were as follows:
03.05.2024
Hamburger SV
-
St. Pauli
1:0
01.12.2023
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
2:2
21.04.2023
Hamburger SV
-
St. Pauli
4:3
14.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Hamburger SV
3:0
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 6 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 6 |
3 | FC Koln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
4 | Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
5 | St. Pauli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Augsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Union Berlin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
11 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Mainz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | B. Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Heidenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Freiburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga