St. Pauli vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 14
Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	2.15
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
72% (249/345)	84% (496/592)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	2.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	2.42
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
18	44
Accurate through passes
3	1
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
15	6
Passes
72% (249/345)	84% (496/592)
Long passes
33% (26/78)	51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
63% (85/135)	72% (118/165)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	29% (12/41)
Expected assists (xA)
1.77	1.69
Throw-ins
14	17
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
100% (3/3)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
38	52
Clearances
51	23
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
2.42	1.02
Goals prevented
1.42	-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Sands J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
42', Schoppner J. 🟨,
45', Smith E. 🟥,
45+3', Blessin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
46', Schoppner J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
46', Keller T. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Kaars M. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
64', 2 - 1, Pieringer M. ⚽, Schimmer S. (A),
64', Siersleben T. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
64', Beck A. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
69', Pyrka A. 🟨,
73', Kaufmann M. 🟨,
76', Kaars M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
78', Niehues J. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
87', Pieringer M. 🟨,
90+6', Jones R.J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
51.7%

Draw
27.1%

Heidenheim
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.1%

21.8%

St. Pauli - Heidenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	4.52 ↑ (4.29)	4.6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Heidenheim?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 32.4% – 71.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 3.
Recent form of St. Pauli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Heidenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, St. Pauli has had a series of away games.
St. Pauli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Heidenheim: Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Heidenheim?

St. Pauli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against St. Pauli?

Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Heidenheim were as follows:

18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2

25.08.2024 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 0:2

08.04.2023 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:1

01.10.2022 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 0:0

Latest results of St. Pauli

06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

02.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:1 ✺

23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Heidenheim

06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 6:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	2	0	55:11	44	41
2	Dortmund	15	9	5	1	26:12	14	32
3	Bayer Leverkusen	15	9	2	4	33:20	13	29
4	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30:19	11	29
5	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	29:20	9	27
6	Stuttgart	15	8	2	5	25:22	3	26
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	30:30	0	25
8	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	20:23	-3	21
9	Freiburg	15	5	5	5	25:26	-1	20
10	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	18:28	-10	17
11	FC Koln	15	4	4	7	22:24	-2	16
12	B. Monchengladbach	15	4	4	7	18:24	-6	16
13	Hamburger SV	15	4	4	7	16:25	-9	16
14	Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	23:28	-5	15
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	17:28	-11	14
16	St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	13:26	-13	12
17	Heidenheim	15	3	2	10	13:34	-21	11
18	Mainz	15	1	5	9	13:26	-13	8

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga