Result
3:1
08/03/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (477/534) | 86% (308/360) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (131/161) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 56% (9/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Hakans D. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Getinger K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hakans D. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 51', Senger M. 🟨,
- 54', Walemark P. 🟨,
- 58', 3 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽,
- 65', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 68', Carstensen R. 🟨,
- 73', Murawski R. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 73', Milic A. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 73', Krykun S. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 82', Domanski M. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 82', Dadok R. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 82', Guillaumier M. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 86', Sousa A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 86', Senger M. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
- 90+2', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
61.8% | Draw
22.4% | Stal Mielec
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.51) |
4.19 ↑
(4.18) |
5.92 ↑
(5.7) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 2.
- Recent matches Lech is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Stal Mielec is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lech is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Knap K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Walemark P.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Lech won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Stal Mielec?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Lech Poznań?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
30.08.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
01.04.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
23.09.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
27.01.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
