Result
3:1
08/03/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.93 | 0.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
24 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 11 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 9 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
25 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
89% (477/534) | 86% (308/360) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
81% (131/161) | 70% (57/81) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 43% (6/14) |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 56% (9/16) |
Clearances Total |
---|
13 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Hakans D. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Getinger K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hakans D. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 51', Senger M. 🟨,
- 54', Walemark P. 🟨,
- 58', 3 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽,
- 65', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 68', Carstensen R. 🟨,
- 73', Murawski R. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 73', Milic A. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 73', Krykun S. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 82', Domanski M. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 82', Dadok R. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 82', Guillaumier M. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 86', Sousa A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 86', Senger M. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
- 90+2', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań 61.8% | Draw 22.4% | Stal Mielec 15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.51) |
4.19 ↑ (4.18) |
5.92 ↑ (5.7) |
6.8% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 80.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 2.
- Recent matches Lech is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Stal Mielec is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lech is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Knap K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Walemark P.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Lech won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Stal Mielec?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Lech Poznań?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec were as follows:
30.08.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
01.04.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
23.09.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
27.01.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
4 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1