Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Los K. 🟨,
- 31', Adkonis J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Korczakowski I. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Olewinski O. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 76', Gieroba S. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 79', Wlazlo P. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
- 79', Odolak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
- 79', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Los K. ⚽, Lis J. (A),
- 82', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Tsykalo Y. ⚽, Puerto I. (A),
- 85', Adamczyk H. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
- 85', Konstantyn J. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
- 87', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,
- 88', Nunez C. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
41.4% | Draw
26.2% | Stal Mielec
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Mielec's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Mielec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.81) |
3.58 ↑
(3.33) |
2.9 ↓
(3.62) |
7.4%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Stal Mielec (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stal Mielec (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec were as follows:
19.09.2025
Stal Mielec
-
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51:40 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Wieczysta Krakow | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 52:40 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Legnica | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 12 | Polonia Bytom | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:52 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leczna | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 | Tychy | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31:60 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
