Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 10
- Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Puerto I. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Noiszewski K. ⚽, Gieroba S. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Losada M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kwiatkowski P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 60', Gieroba S. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
- 60', Olewinski O. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
- 65', Puerto I. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 67', Jedrasik J. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
- 67', Staniszewski J. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
- 77', Losada M. ↓, Kowalik P. ↑,
- 77', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 81', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
- 82', Barnowski D. 🟨,
- 84', Noiszewski K. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 90+2', Los K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Barnowski D. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
31.3% | Draw
31.9% | Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(2.23) |
3.17 ↓
(3.55) |
2.86 ↑
(2.79) |
-5.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Stal Mielec has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
