Result
2:2
28/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 85% (382/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 3.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 85% (382/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 63% (63/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Kolan J. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
- 34', Szmyt K. 🟨,
- 43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 54', Radwanski A. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 56', Kadzior D. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 56', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 59', Radwanski A. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Dadok R. ⚽, Wolkowicz K. (A),
- 66', 2 - 2, Madrzyk J. (Own goal),
- 75', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
- 75', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
- 81', Wlazlo P. ↓, Senger M. ↑,
- 83', Senger M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
57.4% | Draw
26.6% | Stal Mielec
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Lubin's performance.Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Mielec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie Lubin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.1) |
3.66 ↑
(3.48) |
5.82 ↑
(3.24) |
1.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Zagłębie Lubin will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Recent matches Zagłębie Lubin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Stal Mielec is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Stal Mielec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Zagłębie Lubin will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stal Mielec: Beauguel J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Stal Mielec?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec were as follows:
27.10.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:2
15.03.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Stal Mielec
0:0
18.09.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Zagłębie Lubin
4:2
19.05.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Stal Mielec
2:0
04.11.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Zagłębie Lubin
3:0
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
