Result
2:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 23
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (457/536) | 60% (148/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (457/536) | 60% (148/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 31% (21/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (136/184) | 51% (41/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/36) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', White H. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Patterson P. ⚽, Lubala B. (A),
- 60', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 60', Davies I. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽,
- 69', Patterson P. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 69', Lubala B. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 69', Kemp D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 77', Houghton J. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
- 83', Willock C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
- 83', Reid J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 83', Turnbull D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
- 86', Robinson C. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 90+3', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Colwill J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
52.1% | Draw
26.7% | Stevenage Borough
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.05) |
3.48 ↑
(3.23) |
4.38 ↑
(3.43) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(54 of 56 users predict this - 96.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.57% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 26 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Personal Reasons)
Colwill R.
(Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Osho G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Trott N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stevenage Borough?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Cardiff City?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
09.12.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Cardiff City
0:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
