Lincoln City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 13
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.75	0.00
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
13	2
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
25	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Long passes
24% (19/80)	40% (31/78)
Passes in final third
44% (52/117)	45% (41/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.18
Throw-ins
26	33
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
31	44
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	1.75
Goals prevented
0.00	0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Campbell C. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
62', Lubala B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
72', Street R. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
76', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
76', Houghton J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
81', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90', House B. 🟨,
90', Roberts J. 🟨,
90+1', Ahadme G. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
39.9%

Draw
30.7%

Stevenage Borough
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.5%

30.4%

Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	5.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2% – 66.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O. (Foot Injury) Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Moylan J. (Ankle Injury) Parks C. (Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Stevenage Borough?

Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Lincoln City?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

04.01.2025 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

31.08.2024 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 0:1

02.03.2024 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

18.11.2023 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

04.10.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 0:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

07.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bromley 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mansfield Town - Stevenage Borough 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	26	17	4	5	45:26	19	55
2	Lincoln	26	14	7	5	42:28	14	49
3	Bradford City	25	13	7	5	35:27	8	46
4	Stockport County	26	13	6	7	37:32	5	45
5	Bolton	27	11	10	6	33:25	8	43
6	Huddersfield	27	11	6	10	46:38	8	39
7	Luton	26	11	6	9	37:32	5	39
8	Stevenage	25	10	8	7	27:23	4	38
9	Wycombe	26	9	9	8	34:29	5	36
10	Mansfield	24	10	5	9	34:28	6	35
11	Reading	25	9	8	8	33:31	2	35
12	Peterborough	26	11	2	13	33:35	-2	35
13	Exeter	25	10	3	12	28:23	5	33
14	Plymouth	26	10	3	13	33:39	-6	33
15	Barnsley	22	9	5	8	35:34	1	32
16	Leyton Orient	26	9	5	12	39:43	-4	32
17	AFC Wimbledon	25	9	4	12	27:34	-7	31
18	Wigan	25	7	9	9	26:28	-2	30
19	Burton	25	8	6	11	26:35	-9	30
20	Blackpool	26	8	5	13	32:39	-7	29
21	Northampton	25	8	5	12	23:30	-7	29
22	Doncaster	25	7	5	13	25:41	-16	26
23	Rotherham	25	6	6	13	24:38	-14	24
24	Port Vale	24	4	6	14	18:34	-16	18

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two