Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 13
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (208/317) | 71% (264/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (208/317) | 71% (264/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (19/80) | 40% (31/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (52/117) | 45% (41/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 0% (0/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Campbell C. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 62', Lubala B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
- 72', Street R. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 76', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
- 76', Houghton J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 81', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 90', House B. 🟨,
- 90', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ahadme G. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+3', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
39.9% | Draw
30.7% | Stevenage Borough
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1%)
Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.35) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
3.26 ↑
(3.05) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2% – 66.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
- Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O.
(Foot Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
Parks C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Stevenage Borough?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Lincoln City?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
04.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
31.08.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Lincoln City
0:1
02.03.2024
Lincoln City
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
18.11.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
