Lincoln City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 13
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.75	0.00
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
13	2
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
25	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Long passes
24% (19/80)	40% (31/78)
Passes in final third
44% (52/117)	45% (41/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.18
Throw-ins
26	33
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
31	44
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	1.75
Goals prevented
0.00	0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Campbell C. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
62', Lubala B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
72', Street R. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
76', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
76', Houghton J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
81', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90', House B. 🟨,
90', Roberts J. 🟨,
90+1', Ahadme G. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
39.9%

Draw
30.7%

Stevenage Borough
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1%)

Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	5.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2% – 66.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 20%). Stevenage (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O. (Foot Injury) Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Moylan J. (Ankle Injury) Parks C. (Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Stevenage Borough?

Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Lincoln City?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

04.01.2025 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

31.08.2024 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 0:1

02.03.2024 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

18.11.2023 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

04.10.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 0:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

07.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bromley 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mansfield Town - Stevenage Borough 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two