Lincoln City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough
Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 13
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.17
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
66% (208/317)71% (264/374)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.00
Total shots
184
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
66% (208/317)71% (264/374)
Long passes
24% (19/80)40% (31/78)
Passes in final third
44% (52/117)45% (41/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.18
Throw-ins
2633
Fouls
1614
Tackles
71% (10/14)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
3144
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.001.75
Goals prevented
0.000.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Campbell C. , Roberts J. ,
  • 62', Lubala B. , Patterson P. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Street R. , House B. (A),
  • 72', Street R. , Collins J. ,
  • 76', Freestone L. , Butler D. ,
  • 76', Houghton J. , Reid J. ,
  • 81', Draper F. , Okoronkwo F. ,
  • 81', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Towler R. ,
  • 90', House B. 🟨,
  • 90', Roberts J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ahadme G. , Sweeney D. ,
  • 90+3', Bayliss T. , Varfolomeev I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
39.9%
Draw
30.7%
Stevenage Borough
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 29.5% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.35)
    3.02
    (3.25)
    3.26
    (3.05)
    5.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O. (Foot Injury) Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Moylan J. (Ankle Injury) Parks C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    31.08.2024 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 0:1
    02.03.2024 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    18.11.2023 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 1:0
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two