Result
3:1
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 3.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/223) | 74% (299/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 3.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/223) | 74% (299/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 14% (9/66) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (38/84) | 65% (92/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Forbes M. ⚽, Taylor T. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, White H. (A),
- 45+2', Goode C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Eaves T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', Reid J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Eaves T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Dyche M. 🟨,
- 62', Cornick H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 68', List E. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 68', Forbes M. ↓, Wormleighton J. ↑,
- 69', Earley S. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 69', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 71', Sweeney D. 🟨,
- 74', Moore E. 🟨,
- 77', Fitzsimons R. 🟨,
- 80', Eaves T. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 80', Swyer K. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 88', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Jacobs M. (A),
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
30% | Draw
30.3% | Stevenage Borough
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(3.01) |
3.07 ↑
(2.95) |
2.36 ↓
(2.39) |
7.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
- Northampton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Stevenage has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Goode C.
(Injury)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Northampton Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
16.08.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Northampton Town
2:0
01.01.2025
Northampton Town
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
03.12.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Northampton Town
2:0
26.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Northampton Town
3:0
05.08.2023
Northampton Town
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
