Result
2:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (162/261) | 68% (189/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (162/261) | 68% (189/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/78) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (80/135) | 53% (59/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 33', Butler D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Campbell C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 63', McGeehan C. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Kemp D. ⚽, Houghton J. (A),
- 77', List E. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 80', White H. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 81', Reid J. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Ahadme G. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
- 89', Roberts J. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
54.4% | Draw
27.8% | Northampton Town
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.8) |
3.39 ↓
(3.42) |
5.21 ↑
(4.75) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
- Stevenage has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Northampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Northampton Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town were as follows:
01.01.2025
Northampton Town
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
03.12.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Northampton Town
2:0
26.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Northampton Town
3:0
05.08.2023
Northampton Town
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
01.04.2023
Northampton Town
-
Stevenage Borough
1:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
