Stevenage Borough vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town
Result
2:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.93
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
62% (162/261)68% (189/278)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.00
Total shots
910
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
62% (162/261)68% (189/278)
Long passes
32% (25/78)41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
59% (80/135)53% (59/112)
Crosses
46% (6/13)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.59
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
1316
Tackles
40% (6/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
7144
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.95
Goals prevented
0.00-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Piergianni C. 🟨,
  • 33', Butler D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', Campbell C. , Patterson P. ,
  • 63', McGeehan C. , Taylor T. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Kemp D. , Houghton J. (A),
  • 77', List E. , Guinness-Walker N. ,
  • 80', White H. , Phillips D. ,
  • 81', Reid J. , Ahadme G. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ahadme G. , Kemp D. (A),
  • 89', Roberts J. , Pattenden J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
54.4%
Draw
27.8%
Northampton Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.6% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 27.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.8)
    3.39
    (3.42)
    5.21
    (4.75)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
    • Stevenage has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T. (Thigh Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Thorniley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    03.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town 2:0
    26.12.2023 Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town 3:0
    05.08.2023 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 0:1
    01.04.2023 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 1:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two