Crewe Alexandra vs Stockport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
03/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.483.51
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
212
Passes
80% (282/352)85% (466/549)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.483.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.581.62
Total shots
623
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
09
Shots inside the Box
517
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
212
Touches in opposition box
542
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
105
Passes
80% (282/352)85% (466/549)
Long passes
43% (26/61)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
45% (24/53)76% (136/178)
Crosses
14% (1/7)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.213.05
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
510
Tackles
53% (8/15)44% (11/25)
Duels won
3359
Clearances
336
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.621.58
Goals prevented
0.620.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Thibaut A. , Agius C. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Andresson B. , Mothersille M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Edun T. , Dodgson O. ,
  • 46', Armstrong O. , Moore L. ,
  • 69', O'Reilly T. , March J. ,
  • 69', Sanders M. H. , Connolly J. ,
  • 70', Andresson B. , Fevrier J. ,
  • 70', Mothersille M. , Bailey O. ,
  • 79', Finney C. , Hutchinson R. ,
  • 87', Edwards C. , Astles J. ,
  • 87', Hunt J. , Cina B. ,
  • 90+2', Rankine D. , Tezgel E. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Dodgson O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Tezgel E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Moxon O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, March J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Fevrier J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Agius C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Diamond J. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
34.6%
Draw
26.2%
Stockport County
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 24.5% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 24.9% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
  • Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stockport County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.7)
    3.61
    (3.74)
    2.45
    (1.8)
    5.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Stockport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County were as follows:
    12.08.2025 Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra 3:1
    13.02.2024 Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3
    24.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County 0:2
    31.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County 1:1
    26.12.2022 Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Stockport County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2