Result
1:3
25/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31
- Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (391/459) | 87% (467/537) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (97/133) | 71% (59/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 33% (2/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 56% (15/27) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Forss M. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Bae J. ⚽, Moran A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Edmundson G. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Azaz F. ⚽, Conway T. (A),
- 61', Lowe N. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 62', Manhoef M. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 68', Forss M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 70', Wilmot B. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
- 70', Seko T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Conway T. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
- 75', Neto Borges 🟨,
- 76', Rose M. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 78', Bae J. 🟨,
- 78', Conway T. 🟨,
- 83', Moran A. 🟨,
- 87', Azaz F. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
- 87', Conway T. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
29.4% | Draw
27.6% | Middlesbrough
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stoke City - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.9) |
3.46 ↑
(3.35) |
2.23 ↓
(2.4) |
4.4%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Middlesbrough?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 42.5% – 77.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3.
- Recent matches Stoke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Middlesbrough has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Stoke: Bocat E.
(Calf Injury)
Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Brynn S.
(Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
Giles R.
(Illness)
Howson J.
(Calf Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
Smith T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Al Hamadi A.
(Injury)
Gooch L.
(Leg Injury)
Mmaee R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Stoke won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Middlesbrough?
Stoke City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Stoke City?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
28.09.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
2:0
27.08.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
0:5
02.03.2024
Stoke City
-
Middlesbrough
2:0
28.10.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
0:2
14.03.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
1:1
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
