Stoke City vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 28
Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 1, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.81	1.22
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	7
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
77% (256/332)	84% (416/497)
Yellow cards
3	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.81	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	2.23
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
3	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
77% (256/332)	84% (416/497)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	36% (14/39)
Passes in final third
54% (42/78)	72% (93/130)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.96
Throw ins
20	20
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
69% (11/16)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
45	49
Clearances
21	15
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
5	3
xGOT faced
2.23	0.64
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rigo T. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
45+2', Lawal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gilbert A. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
46', Silvera S. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Browne A. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
52', Ayling L. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Conway T. ⚽, Browne A. (A),
66', Pearson B. 🟨,
67', Manhoef M. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
75', Pearson B. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
77', Lawal B. 🟨,
79', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
90+2', Conway T. ↓, Fry D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Stoke City
33.3%

Draw
28.5%

Middlesbrough
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.2%

38.6%

Stoke City - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	2.46 (2.46)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Middlesbrough (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Stoke (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Middlesbrough (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stoke City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 11 - 64.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
Stoke is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Brittain C. (Inactive) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Injury) Sene M. K. (Inactive) Strelec D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Injury) Mubama D. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Middlesbrough?

Stoke City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Stoke City?

Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Middlesbrough were as follows:

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0

25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3

28.09.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 2:0

27.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:5

02.03.2024 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 2:0

Latest results of Stoke City

17.01.2026 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Stoke City - Coventry City 1:0 ✺

04.01.2026 Norwich City - Stoke City 0:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Hull City - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Stoke City - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

16.01.2026 West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough 2:3 ✺

10.01.2026 Fulham - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Southampton 4:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One