Stoke City vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31
Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	2.19
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
12	16
Shots on Goal
3	6
Shots off Goal
5	8
Blocked Shots
4	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Free Kicks
6	10
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
10	6
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
17	24
Touches in the Opposition Box
22	20
Passes
85% (391/459)	87% (467/537)
Passes in the final third
73% (97/133)	71% (59/83)
Crosses
8% (2/24)	33% (2/6)
Tackles
85% (11/13)	56% (15/27)
Clearances Total
15	35
Interceptions
9	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Forss M. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Bae J. ⚽, Moran A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Edmundson G. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Azaz F. ⚽, Conway T. (A),
61', Lowe N. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
62', Manhoef M. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
68', Forss M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
70', Wilmot B. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
70', Seko T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Conway T. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
75', Neto Borges 🟨,
76', Rose M. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
78', Bae J. 🟨,
78', Conway T. 🟨,
83', Moran A. 🟨,
87', Azaz F. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
87', Conway T. ↓, Giles R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stoke City
29.4%

Draw
27.6%

Middlesbrough
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stoke City - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	4.4% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 42.5% – 77.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3.
Recent matches Stoke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Middlesbrough has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Stoke: Bocat E. (Calf Injury) Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Brynn S. (Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Giles R. (Illness) Howson J. (Calf Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury) Smith T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Al Hamadi A. (Injury) Gooch L. (Leg Injury) Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Stoke won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Middlesbrough?

Stoke City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Stoke City?

Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Middlesbrough were as follows:

28.09.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 2:0

27.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:5

02.03.2024 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 2:0

28.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:2

14.03.2023 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 1:1

Latest results of Stoke City

22.02.2025 Norwich City - Stoke City 4:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 3:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Bristol City - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4 ✺

01.02.2025 Hull City - Stoke City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

21.02.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Watford 0:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Sheffield United - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺

03.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Sunderland 2:3 ✺

25.01.2025 Preston North End - Middlesbrough 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One