Middlesbrough vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Middlesbrough - Stoke City
Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.21
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (324/384)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.12
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
58
Passes
86% (423/490)84% (324/384)
Long passes
50% (26/52)60% (38/63)
Passes in final third
69% (82/119)67% (61/91)
Crosses
6% (1/18)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.63
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
85
Tackles
72% (13/18)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
2318
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.120.50
Goals prevented
1.120.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Edmundson G. , Silvera S. ,
  • 13', Silvera S. 🟨,
  • 32', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cisse L. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 46', Pearson B. , Rigo T. ,
  • 64', Morris A. , Hansen S. ,
  • 64', Strelec D. , Sene M. K. ,
  • 73', Bozenik R. , Mubama D. ,
  • 77', Lawal B. , Tchamadeu J. ,
  • 81', Conway T. , Kante A. ,
  • 81', Nypan S. , Fry D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Stoke City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 26.8% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.9% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Middlesbrough - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.95)
    3.23
    (3.55)
    4.07
    (3.9)
    0.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 58%94.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.
    • Middlesbrough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Stoke City were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    28.09.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 2:0
    27.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:5
    02.03.2024 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 2:0
    28.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One