Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (324/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (423/490) | 84% (324/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 60% (38/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/119) | 67% (61/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Edmundson G. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
- 13', Silvera S. 🟨,
- 32', Conway T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 46', Pearson B. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
- 64', Morris A. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
- 64', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 73', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
- 77', Lawal B. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
- 81', Conway T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 81', Nypan S. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
45.5% | Draw
30.3% | Stoke City
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Middlesbrough - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(1.95) |
3.23 ↓
(3.55) |
4.07 ↑
(3.9) |
0.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.
- Middlesbrough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Stoke City?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Middlesbrough?
Stoke City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Stoke City were as follows:
25.02.2025
Stoke City
-
Middlesbrough
1:3
28.09.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
2:0
27.08.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
0:5
02.03.2024
Stoke City
-
Middlesbrough
2:0
28.10.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Stoke City
0:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
