Stoke City vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:2
21/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 1, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.811.22
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
47
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
54
Passes
77% (256/332)84% (416/497)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.811.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.642.23
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1011
Passes
77% (256/332)84% (416/497)
Long passes
47% (27/58)36% (14/39)
Passes in final third
54% (42/78)72% (93/130)
Crosses
15% (2/13)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.96
Throw ins
2020
Fouls
1110
Tackles
69% (11/16)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
2115
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.230.64
Goals prevented
0.23-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Rigo T. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
  • 45+2', Lawal B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gilbert A. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
  • 46', Silvera S. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Browne A. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
  • 52', Ayling L. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Conway T. ⚽, Browne A. (A),
  • 66', Pearson B. 🟨,
  • 67', Manhoef M. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
  • 75', Pearson B. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
  • 77', Lawal B. 🟨,
  • 79', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Conway T. ↓, Fry D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Stoke City
33.3%		Draw
28.5%		Middlesbrough
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 29% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 29.2% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Stoke City - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.83 ↓
    (2.9)    		 3.29 ↑
    (3.26)    		 2.46
    (2.46)    		 6.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 28.4% – 67.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Middlesbrough (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Stoke (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Middlesbrough (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stoke City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
    • Stoke is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Brittain C. (Inactive) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Injury) Sene M. K. (Inactive) Strelec D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Injury) Mubama D. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0
    25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    28.09.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 2:0
    27.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:5
    02.03.2024 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 2:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    17.01.2026 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Stoke City - Coventry City 1:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Norwich City - Stoke City 0:2 ✺
    01.01.2026 Hull City - Stoke City 0:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Stoke City - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    16.01.2026 West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough 2:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Fulham - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Southampton 4:0 ✺
    01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺
    29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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