Strasbourg vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:1
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.88
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
253
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
90% (642/716)79% (292/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.271.36
Total shots
253
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
397
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
915
Passes
90% (642/716)79% (292/368)
Long passes
48% (11/23)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
81% (165/204)46% (18/39)
Crosses
47% (14/30)67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.76
Throw-ins
299
Fouls
159
Tackles
64% (7/11)57% (12/21)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
625
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.362.27
Goals prevented
0.361.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Pozo A. ⚽, Romanczuk T. (A),
  • 59', Amougou M. 🟨,
  • 61', Nanasi S. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
  • 61', Ouattara A. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
  • 62', Amougou M. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
  • 72', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
  • 72', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
  • 72', Paez K. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
  • 75', Vital B. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
  • 83', Pululu A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
  • 88', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
  • 88', Sylla Y. 🟨,
  • 90', Barco V. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Pozo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
63.4%		Draw
20.7%		Jagiellonia Białystok
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.5% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 20.8% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.5
    (1.5)    		 4.58 ↑
    (4.37)    		 6.1 ↑
    (5.85)    		 4.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 39 - 90.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 4.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 82% – 99.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Strasbourg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Sarr M. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Strasbourg - Angers 5:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Strasbourg 1:2 ✺
    26.09.2025 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    18.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia 4:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans 1:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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