Result
0:0
14/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (641/688) | 85% (361/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (641/688) | 85% (361/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 65% (34/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (118/143) | 69% (53/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sarr M. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 54', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 66', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 66', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 75', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 75', Makengo J. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
- 75', Enciso J. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 75', Nanasi S. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
- 82', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
53.6% | Draw
25.1% | Lorient
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Strasbourg - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.7) |
3.78 ↓
(3.98) |
4.52 ↓
(4.56) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 44.4% – 79.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Strasbourg (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 7 - 70%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E.
(Inactive)
Johnsson K.
(Inactive)
Ouattara A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Oyedele M.
(Groin Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lorient?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Strasbourg?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lorient were as follows:
18.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Lorient
1:3
17.12.2023
Lorient
-
Strasbourg
1:2
03.06.2023
Lorient
-
Strasbourg
2:1
13.11.2022
Strasbourg
-
Lorient
1:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
