Rennes vs Strasbourg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.45
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (335/398)89% (523/586)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.430.89
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2733
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
915
Passes
84% (335/398)89% (523/586)
Long passes
51% (28/55)42% (8/19)
Passes in final third
77% (61/79)70% (78/111)
Crosses
28% (5/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.40
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
159
Tackles
78% (18/23)68% (15/22)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.893.43
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lepaul E. , Tamari M. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Meite M. , Ait Boudlal A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Lepaul E. , Meite M. (A),
  • 52', El Mourabet S. , Amougou M. ,
  • 52', Amo-Ameyaw S. , Nanasi S. ,
  • 59', Tamari M. , Merlin Q. ,
  • 60', 4 - 0, Lepaul E. , Rongier V. (A),
  • 61', Ouattara A. , Nzingoula R. ,
  • 68', Meite M. , Embolo B. ,
  • 68', Cisse D. , Blas L. ,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Nanasi S. , Barco V. (A),
  • 83', Chilwell B. 🟨,
  • 83', Enciso J. , Paez K. ,
  • 83', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 90+3', Lepaul E. , Rosier L. ,
  • 90+5', Frankowski P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rennes
37.5%
Draw
27.4%
Strasbourg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.5% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rennes's form might have worsened.
  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rennes - Strasbourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.09)
    3.52
    (3.48)
    2.8
    (3.58)
    3.7%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rennes - Strasbourg?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 39%74.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Strasbourg (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Rennes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Rennes (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Mukiele N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Red Card) Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Blas L. (Coach's decision) Fofana S. (Coach's decision)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Strasbourg were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Rennes - Strasbourg 1:0
    25.08.2024 Strasbourg - Rennes 3:1
    31.03.2024 Strasbourg - Rennes 2:0
    29.10.2023 Rennes - Strasbourg 1:1
    01.02.2023 Rennes - Strasbourg 3:0
    Latest results of Rennes
    29.10.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:2
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2
    19.10.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 2:2
    05.10.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 2:2
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    29.10.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:0
    26.10.2025 Lyon - Strasbourg 2:1
    05.10.2025 Strasbourg - Angers 5:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2