Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
- Referee: Ferrieri Caputi M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Benevento
39.5% | Draw
33.8% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.63) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
3.52 ↑
(2.63) |
6%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 45.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 62.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 17 (15.76%), has project points - 43, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 6 (12.34%), has project points - 55, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 44, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Benevento is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Südtirol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Benevento will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Benevento?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
09.10.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Benevento
1:1
Latest results of Benevento
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Cesena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Palermo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Venezia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Entella | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Empoli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Monza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Avellino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Catanzaro | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Mantova | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Spezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Pescara | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Padova | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Bari | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
