Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
- Referee: Ferrieri Caputi M. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Benevento
39.5% | Draw
33.8% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.63) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
3.52 ↑
(2.63) |
6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 45.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 62.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 17 (15.76%), has project points - 43, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 6 (12.34%), has project points - 55, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 44, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Benevento is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Südtirol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Benevento will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Benevento?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
09.10.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Benevento
1:1
Latest results of Benevento
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
