Result
0:4
03/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (251/366) | 67% (256/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 3.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (251/366) | 67% (256/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (19/70) | 45% (35/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (50/97) | 59% (78/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Kofler R. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Tonin R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
- 46', Rozzio P. ↓, Sampirisi M. ↑,
- 47', Pecorino E. 🟨,
- 52', Sampirisi M. 🟨,
- 59', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 68', Cragno A. ↓, Adamonis M. ↑,
- 71', Libutti L. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 71', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 74', Tait F. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
- 79', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 79', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Pecorino E. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
- 86', 0 - 3, Casiraghi D. ⚽,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Merkaj S. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
Chances of winning
Reggiana 29.9% | Draw 32.4% | Südtirol-Alto Adige 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.11 ↑ (2.6) |
2.87 ↓ (3.05) |
2.49 ↓ (2.65) |
7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Reggiana (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Südtirol (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Südtirol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bozhanaj K.
(Inactive)
Bozzolan A.
(Injury)
Girma N.
(Yellow Cards)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Reggiana?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
27.09.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Reggiana
3:1
02.02.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Reggiana
2:0
15.09.2024
Reggiana
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:3
27.02.2024
Reggiana
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
23.12.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Reggiana
2:3
Latest results of Reggiana
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation