Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (177/283) | 78% (381/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (177/283) | 78% (381/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 26% (19/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (92/152) | 66% (75/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Martini J. ⚽, Odogwu R. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Merkaj S. ⚽, Odogwu R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bozzolan A. ↓, Marras M. ↑,
- 46', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Tronchin S. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 1, Portanova M. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
- 66', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 69', Tait F. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 75', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
- 75', Martini J. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 80', Reinhart T. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 81', Rover M. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 81', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
- 88', Tronchin S. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
- 88', Merkaj S. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
44.7% | Draw
29.8% | Reggiana
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.26) |
2.66 ↓
(3.24) |
3.16 ↓
(3.34) |
24.5%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Reggiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Südtirol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Magnani G.
(Inactive)
Quaranta D.
(Inactive)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Stulac L.
(Inactive)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Reggiana?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana were as follows:
02.02.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Reggiana
2:0
15.09.2024
Reggiana
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:3
27.02.2024
Reggiana
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
23.12.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Reggiana
2:3
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
