Result
0:0
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (432/519) | 71% (206/290) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (432/519) | 71% (206/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (63/91) | 62% (82/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Davi S. 🟨,
- 63', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 63', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 67', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 67', Merkaj S. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 70', Rubino T. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 79', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 81', Hasa L. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 81', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
- 89', Casiraghi D. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 89', Tait F. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
- 90', Zuelli E. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 90', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 90+3', Oliana F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
38.6% | Draw
32.1% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.56) |
2.94 ↑
(2.88) |
3.18 ↑
(3) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Carrarese (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Carrarese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Illanes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Cragno A.
(Inactive)
Martini J.
(Injury)
Masiello A.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Tronchin S.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Carrarese?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
08.11.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Carrarese
1:1
16.03.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Carrarese
0:0
27.08.2024
Carrarese
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
