Sukhothai vs Nongbua Pitchaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
20/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Romeu ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Gildo ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Thumporn T. ,

Chances of winning


Sukhothai
58.7%
Draw
24.4%
Nongbua Pitchaya
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 29.2% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 30.5% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.
  • Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nongbua Pitchaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nongbua Pitchaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.92)
    3.7
    (3.06)
    5.35
    (3.67)
    10.6%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Sukhothai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of home games.
    • Sukhothai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai 1:1
    08.11.2024 Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya 5:2
    19.11.2022 Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya 0:0
    Latest results of Sukhothai
    05.12.2025 Ratchaburi - Sukhothai 1:0
    30.11.2025 Sukhothai - Bangkok United 0:0
    23.11.2025 Sukhothai - Chonburi 2:1
    08.11.2025 Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi 1:1
    Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Customs UtdNonthaburi Utd3 : 0
    2BuriramWarin Chamrap12 : 0
    3See Khwae CityPattani0 : 1
    4Cha Choeng SaoNakhon Ratchasima FC0 : 1
    5Samui UnitedSa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng2 : 0
    6Nong Khai FCKhonkaen Utd.0 : 5
    7Bankhai UnitedNakhon Nayok5 : 0
    8KasetsartNakhon Pathom1 : 2
    9Ayutthaya UtdUdon United1 : 0
    10Roi EtSamut Songkhram City2 : 0
    11SiwilaiUttaradit0 : 2
    12Pattaya CityChiangmai FC1 : 0
    13Marines FCSisaket United0 : 3
    14MahasarakhamRayong FC1 : 4
    15MuangnontPhitsanulok0 : 1
    16Lopburi CityRatchaburi2 : 3
    17Phichit UnitedUdon Thani City1 : 0
    18Chiangrai UtdSing Pathumthani19 : 0
    19Prime BangkokKhonkaen FC1 : 0
    20Thai FleetFC ACDC1 : 0
    21Uthai ThaniKasem Bundit3 : 0
    22Chiangmai UtdPrachuap2 : 6
    23Pathum UnitedKamphaeng Phet4 : 0
    24Surin SugarUbonkids City2 : 9
    25Muang Thong UtdRomklao United10 : 0
    26Surat Thani CityLamphun Warrior1 : 4
    27SukhothaiYala3 : 1
    28Thonburi ForestNong Bua Pitchaya0 : 7
    29Burapha UnitedPort MTI FC0 : 4
    30Bangkok UtdSamut Sakhon City7 : 0
    31KanchanaburiNara4 : 0
    32ChonburiPolice Tero1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Customs UtdBuriram1 : 5
    2PattaniNakhon Ratchasima FC2 : 0
    3Samui UnitedKhonkaen Utd.1 : 3
    4Bankhai UnitedNakhon Pathom1 : 3
    5Ayutthaya UtdRoi Et6 : 0
    6UttaraditPattaya City1 : 0
    7Sisaket UnitedRayong FC1 : 0
    8PhitsanulokRatchaburi1 : 2
    9Phichit UnitedChiangrai Utd2 : 3
    10Prime BangkokThai Fleet3 : 2
    11Uthai ThaniPrachuap0 : 1
    12Pathum UnitedUbonkids City10 : 0
    13Muang Thong UtdLamphun Warrior0 : 1
    14SukhothaiNong Bua Pitchaya3 : 0
    15Port MTI FCBangkok Utd0 : 3
    16KanchanaburiPolice Tero1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1BuriramPattani4 : 0
    2Khonkaen Utd.Nakhon Pathom2 : 0
    3Ayutthaya UtdUttaradit3 : 0
    4Sisaket UnitedRatchaburi1 : 3
    5Chiangrai UtdPrime Bangkok3 : 2
    6PrachuapPathum United1 : 0
    7Lamphun WarriorSukhothai2 : 0
    8Bangkok UtdKanchanaburi3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1BuriramKhonkaen Utd.6 : 0
    2Ayutthaya UtdRatchaburi1 : 0
    3Chiangrai UtdPrachuap0 : 1
    4Lamphun WarriorBangkok Utd2 : 1