Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Abdullazada S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Jankovic A. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
- 66', Badolo C. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 67', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
- 69', Rustamov E. ↓, Kings P. ↑,
- 72', Ahmadzada R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Spence K. C. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 76', Rustamli R. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
- 78', Murata M. 🟨,
- 81', Ahmadzada N. ↓, Muradly S. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Karvan
24.9% | Draw
28.4% | Sumgayit
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Karvan - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↓
(3.85) |
3.19 ↓
(3.23) |
1.94 ↑
(1.88) |
10.2%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Karvan - Sumgayit?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- In this match, Sumgayit is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Sumgayit?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Karvan?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Sumgayit were as follows:
30.01.2026
Karvan
-
Sumgayit
0:2
18.10.2025
Sumgayit
-
Karvan
4:1
18.12.2023
Sumgayit
-
Karvan
3:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
