Result
4:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Turabov E. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Vasquez R. ⚽, Kehat R. (A),
- 20', Doyeni O. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
- 25', Keffel 🟨,
- 26', Jankovic A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Rustamli R. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
- 46', Kings P. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
- 58', Barker I. 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 1, Jankovic A. ⚽,
- 61', Murata M. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 61', Orujov N. ↓, Moumini A. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
- 68', Turabov E. ↓, Yunuszada E. ↑,
- 70', Ramalingom A. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 70', Jankovic A. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 76', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
- 78', Mickels J. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
- 78', Qadirzada I. ↓, Spence K. C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit 61.8% | Draw 24.7% | Karvan 13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumgayit that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sumgayit - Karvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.52) |
3.74 ↓ (3.86) |
6.8 ↑ (5.68) |
8.5% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Sumgayit is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Karvan has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Sumgayit is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Karvan?
Sumgayit has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Sumgayit?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Karvan were as follows:
18.12.2023
Sumgayit
-
Karvan
3:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa