Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hurtado H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Pinto P. 🟨,
- 56', Moumini A. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Hurtado H. (Own goal),
- 66', Wadji I. ↓, Jo Batista ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Sadykhov R. ⚽,
- 71', Silva J. 🟨,
- 74', Kehat R. ↓, Murata M. ↑,
- 74', Simon N. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
- 80', Hadzhiyev F. 🟨,
- 81', Hadzhiyev F. ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 89', Ozobic F. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
- 89', Guseynov A. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Turan Tovuz
44.8% | Draw
30.7% | Sumgayit
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Tovuz's form might have worsened.Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Tovuz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-4%)
Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.76) |
2.98 ↓
(3.43) |
3.72 ↓
(4.37) |
9.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit?
Users Predictions:
Turan Tovuz will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Turan Tovuz will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Turan is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Turan won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Sumgayit?
Turan Tovuz has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Turan Tovuz?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit were as follows:
04.10.2025
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
0:3
17.05.2025
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
0:1
20.10.2024
Sumgayit
-
Turan Tovuz
2:4
11.08.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Sumgayit
1:0
19.04.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Sumgayit
1:4
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 60:17 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Zira | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Araz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 37 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 23:42 | -19 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 16:49 | -33 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
