Sumgayit vs Turan Tovuz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz
04/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Chances of winning


Sumgayit
24.2%
Draw
30.6%
Turan Tovuz
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 31.3% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 30% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.41)
    2.97
    (2.96)
    2.01
    (2.24)
    10%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Turan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    20.10.2024 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 2:4
    11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit 1:0
    19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit 1:4
    18.02.2024 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 0:0
    Latest results of Sumgayit
    28.09.2025 Sabah - Sumgayit 1:1
    21.09.2025 Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    13.09.2025 İmişli - Sumgayit 1:0
    29.08.2025 Sumgayit - Shamakhi 1:1
    22.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit 0:1
    Latest results of Turan Tovuz
    28.09.2025 Turan Tovuz - Kapaz 3:0
    20.09.2025 Sabah - Turan Tovuz 2:0
    13.09.2025 Turan Tovuz - Gabala 1:0
    29.08.2025 Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araz742110:9114
    2Zira734014:7713
    3Turan Tovuz64027:4312
    4Sumqayit63219:4511
    5Qarabag531110:2810
    6Imisli FK72235:7-28
    7Neftci Baku71515:418
    8Sabah Baku52215:328
    9Shamakhi61328:716
    10Karvan61234:11-75
    11Gabala61146:8-24
    12Kapaz60062:19-170

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