Result
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sunderland
26.1% | Draw
27.4% | Aston Villa
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Sunderland - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↓
(3.9) |
3.53 ↓
(3.72) |
2.06 ↑
(1.93) |
3.1%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sunderland - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
- Sunderland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aston Villa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Aston Villa?
Sunderland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Sunderland?
Aston Villa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sunderland - Aston Villa were as follows:
Latest results of Sunderland
Latest results of Aston Villa
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Manchester Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Burnley | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
