Sunderland vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
moldovaMoldovaICE TV, Setanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.71
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
69% (150/216)89% (479/539)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.15
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
814
Passes
69% (150/216)89% (479/539)
Long passes
32% (15/47)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
42% (25/59)84% (194/230)
Crosses
17% (2/12)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.91
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
148
Tackles
65% (13/20)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
3428
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.151.03
Goals prevented
-0.850.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Mandava R. 🟥,
  • 37', Rigg C. , Ballard D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Digne L. , Elliott H. ,
  • 58', Buendia E. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 63', Maatsen I. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Cash M. , Kamara B. (A),
  • 73', Guessand E. , Malen D. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Isidor W. , Xhaka G. (A),
  • 80', Isidor W. , Mayenda E. ,
  • 80', Talbi C. , Masuaku A. ,
  • 81', Le Fee E. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 82', Rogers M. , Sancho J. ,
  • 82', Kamara B. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 88', Xhaka G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sadiki N. , Neil D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ze7b646e

Chances of winning


Sunderland
25.2%
Draw
28.1%
Aston Villa
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 25.8% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 25.7% 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Sunderland - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    3.43
    (3.72)
    2.05
    (1.93)
    4.1%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sunderland - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 26 - 46.4%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 18 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 33.3%59.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 9 - 50%). Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 9 - 45%). Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
    • In recent matches, Sunderland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aston Villa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Garcia A. (Knock) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Groin Injury) Le Fee E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Lindelof V. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
    Latest results of Sunderland
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    13.09.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd30159654:411354
    4Aston Villa30156940:37351
    5Liverpool30147949:40949
    6Chelsea30139853:351848
    7Brentford301361146:42445
    8Everton301271134:35-143
    9Newcastle301261243:43042
    10Bournemouth30914744:46-241
    11Fulham301251340:43-341
    12Brighton3010101039:36340
    13Sunderland3010101030:35-540
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds307111237:48-1132
    16Tottenham30791440:47-730
    17Nottingham30781528:43-1529
    18West Ham30781536:55-1929
    19Burnley30481832:58-2620
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship