Result
1:1
27/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.74 | 2.14 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Total shots |
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19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
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81% (390/482) | 72% (250/346) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 2.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.55 | 1.67 |
Total shots |
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19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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40 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 16 |
Passes |
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81% (390/482) | 72% (250/346) |
Long passes |
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63% (38/60) | 40% (28/70) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (95/144) | 56% (45/81) |
Crosses |
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44% (12/27) | 33% (6/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.49 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 21 |
Fouls |
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16 | 12 |
Tackles |
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50% (4/8) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
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54 | 64 |
Clearances |
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17 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.67 | 1.55 |
Goals prevented |
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0.67 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Lauan 🟨,
- 33', Sula D. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Tihonovics M. ⚽,
- 62', Ivulans M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 62', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Evelons E. ⚽,
- 69', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 69', Zengis R. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 73', Kamara S. ↓, Karimu M. ↑,
- 80', Minkevics I. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
- 80', Grabovskis K. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
- 87', Augusts K. 🟨,
- 88', Tihonovics M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
- 88', Glaudans A. ↓, Stepanovs V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova 58.1% | Draw 24.4% | Metta LU 17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Super Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta LU could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Super Nova - Metta LU Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.64) |
3.74 ↓ (3.75) |
5.23 ↑ (4.48) |
9.5% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Metta LU?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Super Nova will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
- Super Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Super Nova is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Metta LU?
Super Nova has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Super Nova?
Metta LU has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Metta LU were as follows:
06.05.2025
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:2
12.03.2025
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
4:0
08.10.2023
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:1
21.07.2023
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
1:3
23.05.2023
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
4:1
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Metta LU
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga