Result
1:1
27/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/482) | 72% (250/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/482) | 72% (250/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (95/144) | 56% (45/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Lauan 🟨,
- 33', Sula D. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Tihonovics M. ⚽,
- 62', Ivulans M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 62', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Evelons E. ⚽,
- 69', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 69', Zengis R. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 73', Kamara S. ↓, Karimu M. ↑,
- 80', Minkevics I. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
- 80', Grabovskis K. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
- 87', Augusts K. 🟨,
- 88', Tihonovics M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
- 88', Glaudans A. ↓, Stepanovs V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
58.1% | Draw
24.4% | Metta LU
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Super Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta LU could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Super Nova - Metta LU Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.64) |
3.74 ↓
(3.75) |
5.23 ↑
(4.48) |
9.5%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Metta LU?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Super Nova will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
- Super Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Super Nova is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Metta LU?
Super Nova has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Super Nova?
Metta LU has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Metta LU were as follows:
06.05.2025
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:2
12.03.2025
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
4:0
08.10.2023
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:1
21.07.2023
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
1:3
23.05.2023
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
4:1
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Metta LU
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
| 9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
| 10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
