Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/284) | 81% (367/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/284) | 81% (367/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (36/75) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (51/99) | 66% (83/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 14% (5/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Evelons E. 🟨,
- 18', Klavins K. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Evelons E. ⚽, Ivulans M. (A),
- 36', Zengis R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zengis R. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑,
- 46', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 50', Scremin G. 🟨,
- 61', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
- 72', Ivulans M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 72', Rekis K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
- 76', Klavins K. ↓, Oss M. ↑,
- 76', Tihonovics M. ↓, Emsis E. ↑,
- 81', Skadmanis K. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Marchuk A. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
- 83', 2 - 1, Bangura A. ⚽, Cinajevs D. (A),
- 85', Molotkovs A. ↓, Kangars A. ↑,
- 90+3', Bangura A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sorokins A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Metta LU
34.3% | Draw
27.2% | Super Nova
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta LU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Super Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Metta LU - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(3.02) |
3.38 ↑
(3.31) |
2.39 ↑
(2.06) |
8.8%
(11.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metta LU - Super Nova?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Metta LU will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Metta won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Super Nova?
Metta LU has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Metta LU?
Super Nova has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - Super Nova were as follows:
27.06.2025
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
1:1
06.05.2025
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:2
12.03.2025
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
4:0
08.10.2023
Metta LU
-
Super Nova
0:1
21.07.2023
Super Nova
-
Metta LU
1:3
Latest results of Metta LU
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Grobina | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 10 | Metta | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 30:63 | -33 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
