Result
1:3
17/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (270/357) | 87% (341/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (270/357) | 87% (341/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (59/112) | 85% (95/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 17', 0 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Diaw M. (A),
- 40', Gueye A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Leidsman K. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Melnis B. ⚽, Diaw M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leidsman K. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 46', Glaudans A. ↓, Deklavs A. ↑,
- 46', Gueye A. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
- 46', Tihonovics M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
- 48', Isajevs V. 🟨,
- 51', Babic A. 🟨,
- 51', Lausic M. 🟨,
- 51', Sula D. (Pen),
- 56', Melnis B. 🟨,
- 56', Simic M. 🟨,
- 61', Lausic M. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
- 61', Diaw M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 65', Alm A. 🟨,
- 65', Cudars K. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 76', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 76', Gueye D. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 77', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Dione M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Klavins K. ⚽, Dione M. (A),
- 83', Augusts K. 🟨,
- 87', Oloko E. 🟨,
- 90', Petkovic D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
34.6% | Draw
28.6% | Liepāja
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Super Nova's performance.Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liepāja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Super Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liepāja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Super Nova - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.24) |
3.22 ↓
(3.54) |
2.5 ↑
(1.97) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Liepāja will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Super Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Liepāja?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Super Nova?
Liepāja has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Liepāja were as follows:
25.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:2
11.11.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:0
28.08.2023
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
0:2
09.06.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:1
11.09.2022
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
2:2
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
