Result
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (108/187) | 89% (538/605) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (108/187) | 89% (538/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 76% (68/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 78% (153/197) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (4/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Cudars K. (Pen),
- 28', Berzins L. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Sula D. ⚽, Cirulis J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leidsman K. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 46', Sorokins V. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
- 46', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Marchuk A. ⚽, Sula D. (A),
- 61', Glaudans A. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 70', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Zengis R. ↑,
- 74', Diaw M. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 79', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 84', Cirulis J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sula D. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
- 90+3', Marchuk A. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
27% | Draw
26.1% | Liepāja
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Super Nova - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(3.64) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
1.95 ↑
(1.89) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Super Nova: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Super Nova (2.42) (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Super Nova (2.38) (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Super Nova will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Liepāja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 1.
- Super Nova is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Liepāja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Liepāja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 1.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 1.2:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Liepāja?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Super Nova?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Liepāja were as follows:
25.08.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
0:3
17.06.2025
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
1:3
25.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:2
11.11.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:0
28.08.2023
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
0:2
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC ✔ | 36 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 85:26 | 59 | 88 |
| 2 | RFS ✔ | 36 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 100:39 | 61 | 87 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja ✔ | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59:55 | 4 | 61 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52:62 | -10 | 48 |
| 5 | Auda ✔ | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 45 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 39:63 | -24 | 36 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 44:56 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Grobina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 33:64 | -31 | 32 |
| 10 | Metta | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 39:74 | -35 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
