Result
0:3
25/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (512/585) | 62% (130/211) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 66 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (512/585) | 62% (130/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (29/43) | 22% (11/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (169/229) | 38% (15/39) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Glaudans A. ⚽, Skadmanis K. (A),
- 17', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
- 35', Traore A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Bombans G. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
- 46', Patijcuks D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Glaudans A. ⚽, Skadmanis K. (A),
- 62', Saveljevs A. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 62', Skadmanis K. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 65', Maslovs R. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 78', Cudars K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Glaudans A. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Zants T. ⚽, Sula D. (A),
- 90+3', 🟥,
- 90+5', Iljins K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
69.5% | Draw
19.6% | Super Nova
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Super Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Super Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.69) |
4.79 ↑
(3.75) |
8.63 ↑
(4.08) |
6.4%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Super Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4.
- Liepāja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Super Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Liepāja is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Liepāja will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:10. (average 2.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Super Nova?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Liepāja?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Super Nova were as follows:
17.06.2025
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
1:3
25.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:2
11.11.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:0
28.08.2023
Super Nova
-
Liepāja
0:2
09.06.2023
Liepāja
-
Super Nova
2:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
| 9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
| 10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
