Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Ismoilov I. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Flamarion ↓, Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↑,
- 46', Tahseen Z. ↓, Abdumazhidov M. ↑,
- 59', Nematkhonov N. 🟨,
- 59', Buriev A. 🟨,
- 63', Turdimurodov R. 🟨,
- 68', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
- 71', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Ramazonov D. ↑,
- 71', Poyonov S. ↓, Makhmudov S. ↑,
- 74', Resan B. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
- 85', Ibrokhimov I. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
- 87', Karimov B. ↓, Juraev J. ↑,
- 88', Tursunov D. ↓, Abdurakhmonov M. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pakhtakor
63.8% | Draw
22.3% | Surkhon Termez
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.42) |
4.15 ↓
(4.32) |
6.66 ↓
(7.5) |
8.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.
- Pakhtakor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Surkhon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Surkhon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:9. (average 2.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Surkhon Termez?
Pakhtakor has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Surkhon Termez won against Pakhtakor?
Surkhon Termez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
03.05.2025
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
2:1
22.08.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Surkhon Termez
0:1
04.03.2024
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
0:3
24.11.2023
Surkhon Termez
-
Pakhtakor
1:2
29.05.2023
Pakhtakor
-
Surkhon Termez
1:0
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Latest results of Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | OKMK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Andijan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:45 | -26 | 23 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19:49 | -30 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
