Pakhtakor vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez
Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 23
  • Referee: Ismoilov I. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Flamarion , Sobirkhuzhaev S. ,
  • 46', Tahseen Z. , Abdumazhidov M. ,
  • 59', Nematkhonov N. 🟨,
  • 59', Buriev A. 🟨,
  • 63', Turdimurodov R. 🟨,
  • 68', Abdikholikov B. , Sergeev I. ,
  • 71', Abdikholikov N. , Ramazonov D. ,
  • 71', Poyonov S. , Makhmudov S. ,
  • 74', Resan B. , Erkinov K. ,
  • 85', Ibrokhimov I. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 87', Karimov B. , Juraev J. ,
  • 88', Tursunov D. , Abdurakhmonov M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
63.8%
Draw
22.3%
Surkhon Termez
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.7% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 20.5% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.42)
    4.15
    (4.32)
    6.66
    (7.5)
    8.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.
    • Pakhtakor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Surkhon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Surkhon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:9. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 2:1
    22.08.2024 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    04.03.2024 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 0:3
    24.11.2023 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:2
    29.05.2023 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    19.09.2025 Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor 0:0
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi23157144:172752
    2Neftchi Fargona23146337:191848
    3Pakhtakor23134645:202543
    4Din. Samarkand22118333:25841
    5OKMK23124735:26940
    6Bunyodkor23109436:28839
    7Navbahor Namangan24107739:291037
    8Qizilqum2368919:30-1126
    9Sogdiana23671028:29-125
    10Andijan2267928:34-625
    11Termez Surkhon23671018:24-625
    12Kokand 191223651219:35-1623
    13Mashal Muborak23651218:39-2123
    14Xorazm Urganch24561325:30-521
    15Buxoro23561224:37-1321
    16Shortan Guzor23261515:41-2612

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