Surkhon Termez vs Pakhtakor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 25', Jumaev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 57', Khodzhaniyazov D. (Pen),
  • 58', 1 - 0, Abdurakhmonov M. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Tursunov D. ,
  • 64', Jumaev A. , Karimov A. ,
  • 74', Khamidzhonov S. , Ramazonov D. ,
  • 75', Poyonov S. , Kolesnichenko K. ,
  • 76', Kolesnichenko K. 🟥,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 79', Adkhamzoda U. , Abdullaev A. ,
  • 80', Abdurakhmonov M. , Khaydarov A. ,
  • 80', Komilov S. , Kratkov D. ,
  • 87', Jonatan Lucca , Khoshimov U. ,
  • 87', Riascos B. , Ortikboev D. ,
  • 90', Karimov A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 90+8', Urinboev M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Surkhon Termez
18.3%
Draw
26.3%
Pakhtakor
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 26.6% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 25.5% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (5.06)
    3.49
    (3.44)
    1.66
    (1.66)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor were as follows:
    22.08.2024 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    04.03.2024 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 0:3
    24.11.2023 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:2
    29.05.2023 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    09.10.2022 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:1
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    27.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar 1:0
    13.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Andijan 2:3
    02.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 5:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3OKMK18104426:18834
    4Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1894534:191531
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

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