Pakhtakor vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez
Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 23
  • Referee: Ismoilov I. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Flamarion , Sobirkhuzhaev S. ,
  • 46', Tahseen Z. , Abdumazhidov M. ,
  • 59', Nematkhonov N. 🟨,
  • 59', Buriev A. 🟨,
  • 63', Turdimurodov R. 🟨,
  • 68', Abdikholikov B. , Sergeev I. ,
  • 71', Abdikholikov N. , Ramazonov D. ,
  • 71', Poyonov S. , Makhmudov S. ,
  • 74', Resan B. , Erkinov K. ,
  • 85', Ibrokhimov I. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 87', Karimov B. , Juraev J. ,
  • 88', Tursunov D. , Abdurakhmonov M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
63.8%
Draw
22.3%
Surkhon Termez
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.7% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 20.5% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.42)
    4.15
    (4.32)
    6.66
    (7.5)
    8.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.
    • Pakhtakor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Surkhon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Surkhon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:9. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 2:1
    22.08.2024 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    04.03.2024 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 0:3
    24.11.2023 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:2
    29.05.2023 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    19.09.2025 Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor 0:0
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi26169150:203057
    2Neftchi Fargona26176342:192357
    3Pakhtakor26164653:203352
    4Din. Samarkand25138439:281147
    5Bunyodkor261210442:311146
    6OKMK26125936:29741
    7Navbahor Namangan26107939:33637
    8Qizilqum26881022:33-1132
    9Sogdiana26871132:33-131
    10Kokand 191226851322:38-1629
    11Andijan24771032:39-728
    12Termez Surkhon25671219:28-925
    13Xorazm Urganch26661428:31-324
    14Buxoro26661427:45-1824
    15Mashal Muborak26651519:45-2623
    16Shortan Guzor26261819:49-3012

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga