Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.24
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (451/516)87% (409/470)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.61
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1835
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (451/516)87% (409/470)
Long passes
55% (41/75)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
72% (104/145)78% (123/158)
Crosses
17% (5/29)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.74
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
89
Tackles
67% (14/21)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.610.19
Goals prevented
0.610.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Burrell R. , Hayden I. (A),
  • 29', Dunne J. 🟨,
  • 34', Yalcouye M. 🟥,
  • 35', Cook S. 🟨,
  • 41', Idah A. 🟨,
  • 42', Sheehan A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Inoussa Z. , Ronald ,
  • 46', Franco G. , Key J. ,
  • 60', Smyth P. , Dembele K. ,
  • 71', Burrell R. , Chair I. ,
  • 71', Hayden I. , Varane J. ,
  • 73', Eom J. , Cullen L. ,
  • 82', Stamenic M. , Widell M. ,
  • 82', Idah A. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 87', Kone R. 🟨,
  • 88', Kone R. , Frey M. ,
  • 90+2', Chair I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Swansea City
45.2%
Draw
28.1%
Queens Park Rangers
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 27.1% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 28.5% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea City's form might have worsened.
  • Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.85)
    3.43
    (3.45)
    3.64
    (4.2)
    4.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 52%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - QPR (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 50%). QPR (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Walsh J. (Wrist Injury)
    • There are questionable in QPR: Morrison L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:2
    26.12.2024 Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers 3:0
    01.04.2024 Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers 0:1
    19.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:1
    21.01.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:1
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One