Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 17
- Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (423/516) | 76% (267/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (423/516) | 76% (267/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/136) | 59% (39/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 54% (14/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Quintal T. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Kitto R. ⚽, Barnett J. (A),
- 29', Alagich E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Campuzano V. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
- 60', Hollman C. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 67', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
- 67', White R. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 67', Muniz J. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 70', Vriends B. 🟨,
- 72', Tisserand M. 🟨,
- 78', Dukuly Y. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 81', Quintal T. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
- 86', Lolley J. ↓, Akon A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Burkitt B. (A),
- 90+1', Yull J. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
- 90+1', Jovanovic L. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sydney
57.1% | Draw
21.3% | Adelaide United
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Sydney - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.76) |
4.42 ↑
(3.8) |
4.41 ↑
(3.75) |
5.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Sydney - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sydney will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sydney is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
Toure A.
(Calf Injury)
Walatee A.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Hip Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Goodwin C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:31. (average 2.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Adelaide United?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Sydney?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Adelaide United were as follows:
17.10.2025
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
2:1
05.04.2025
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
2:3
01.02.2025
Sydney
-
Adelaide United
4:1
20.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
3:3
17.02.2024
Sydney
-
Adelaide United
2:1
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
