Result
2:3
05/04/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football, Setanta Sports |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/417) | 85% (433/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/417) | 85% (433/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (70/100) | 72% (88/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.75 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽,
- 34', King J. 🟨,
- 40', Grant A. ↓, De Jesus Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kamijo W. ↓, Hollman C. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Goodwin A. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
- 52', 1 - 2, Klimala P. ⚽,
- 65', Douglas Costa ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 65', Leo Sena ↓, Ouahim A. ↑,
- 66', Kikianis P. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 66', Folami B. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Goodwin A. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
- 86', Goodwin A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 86', Pierias D. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 90+1', Lopez J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Segecic A. ⚽,
- 90+6', De Jesus Z. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
43.1% | Draw
23.3% | Sydney
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide United - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.69) |
4.04 ↑
(3.79) |
2.81 ↑
(2.35) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sydney will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). Sydney (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 1.
- Adelaide is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sydney is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Elsey J.
(Inactive)
Madanha P.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Neil B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sydney: Gurd A.
(Collarbone injury)
Shaw K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 30:44 (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:24 (average 1.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Sydney?
Adelaide United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Adelaide United?
Sydney has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Sydney were as follows:
01.02.2025
Sydney
-
Adelaide United
4:1
20.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
3:3
17.02.2024
Sydney
-
Adelaide United
2:1
13.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
4:3
11.11.2023
Adelaide United
-
Sydney
1:5
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
