Result
5:1
03/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 29
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/474) | 80% (354/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/474) | 80% (354/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 25% (13/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 67% (75/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -2.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Behich A. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Caputo M. ⚽, Tilio M. (A),
- 34', 3 - 0, Tilio M. ⚽, Atkinson N. (A),
- 36', Popovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kamijo W. ↓, Klimala P. ↑,
- 52', Devenish-Meares H. ↓, Redmayne A. ↑,
- 54', Ouahim A. 🟨,
- 55', Klimala P. 🟨,
- 57', 4 - 0, Kuen A. ⚽,
- 66', 4 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽, Douglas Costa (A),
- 68', Cohen Y. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 68', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 68', Tilio M. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 70', Grant R. 🟨,
- 72', Courtney-Perkins J. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,
- 76', Atkinson N. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
- 85', Segecic A. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
- 85', Ouahim A. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
- 87', Kuen A. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 90+5', 5 - 1, Memeti M. ⚽, Lopane A. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
53.7% | Draw
23.4% | Sydney
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Melbourne City - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.97) |
4.03 ↑
(3.89) |
4.1 ↑
(3.41) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
- Melbourne City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Sydney: Grant A.
(Calf Injury)
Gurd A.
(Collarbone injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Sydney?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne City?
Sydney has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Sydney were as follows:
29.03.2025
Sydney
-
Melbourne City
2:3
24.02.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne City
1:1
03.11.2023
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
2:0
24.09.2023
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
1:2
19.05.2023
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
4:0
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
