Sydney vs Melbourne City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney).

A-League - Round 21
Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	2.82
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
0	6
Corner kicks
1	5
Passes
86% (434/506)	83% (333/400)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	2.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.41	0.83
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
8	8
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
10	13
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	6
Corner kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
26	29
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
7	8
Passes
86% (434/506)	83% (333/400)
Long passes
44% (19/43)	29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
70% (85/122)	70% (73/105)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	1.77
Throw ins
17	14
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
60% (15/25)	56% (15/27)
Duels won
60	54
Clearances
15	20
Interceptions
3	8
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.83	0.41
Goals prevented
-0.17	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Campuzano V. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
62', Kuen A. 🟨,
63', Tisserand M. ↓, Grant A. ↑,
63', Quintal T. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
63', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Macallister M. ↑,
63', Arzani D. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
69', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
69', Rahmani K. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
69', Kuen A. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
76', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
86', Younis M. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
86', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sydney
38.6%

Draw
26.3%

Melbourne City
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sydney - Melbourne City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)	3.6 ↑ (3.46)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	5.2% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sydney - Melbourne City?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 42% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Sydney (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.
Sydney has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melbourne City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G. (Wrist Injury) Lolley J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Knee Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Nabbout A. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne City?

Sydney has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Sydney?

Melbourne City has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Melbourne City were as follows:

03.01.2026 Melbourne City - Sydney 0:0

03.05.2025 Melbourne City - Sydney 5:1

29.03.2025 Sydney - Melbourne City 2:3

24.02.2024 Sydney - Melbourne City 1:1

03.11.2023 Melbourne City - Sydney 2:0

Latest results of Sydney

07.03.2026 Sydney - Melbourne Victory 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Sydney - Brisbane Roar 1:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Sydney - Auckland FC 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Sydney - Adelaide United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne City

10.03.2026 Buriram United - Melbourne City 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Melbourne City - Buriram United 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Auckland FC - Melbourne City 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:3 ✺

18.02.2026 Melbourne City - Gangwon 0:0 ✺

Australian A-League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	22	14	1	7	46:33	13	43
2	Auckland FC	22	11	6	5	37:23	14	39
3	Melbourne Victory	22	10	5	7	38:28	10	35
4	Adelaide United	22	10	5	7	39:32	7	35
5	Sydney FC	22	10	3	9	29:23	6	33
6	Macarthur FC	22	7	7	8	28:36	-8	28
7	Central Coast Mariners	21	7	6	8	29:32	-3	27
8	Wellington Phoenix	22	7	6	9	33:41	-8	27
9	Melbourne City	21	6	8	7	22:28	-6	26
10	Brisbane Roar	22	6	6	10	22:29	-7	24
11	Perth Glory	22	6	5	11	25:35	-10	23
12	WS Wanderers	22	5	6	11	26:34	-8	21

Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)