Result
0:1
17/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 21
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/506) | 83% (333/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/506) | 83% (333/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (85/122) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Campuzano V. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 62', Kuen A. 🟨,
- 63', Tisserand M. ↓, Grant A. ↑,
- 63', Quintal T. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
- 63', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Macallister M. ↑,
- 63', Arzani D. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
- 69', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 69', Rahmani K. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
- 69', Kuen A. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 76', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
- 86', Younis M. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
- 86', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sydney
38.6% | Draw
26.3% | Melbourne City
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Sydney - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.39) |
3.6 ↑
(3.46) |
2.73 ↑
(2.72) |
5.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sydney - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 42% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Sydney (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.
- Sydney has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
Lolley J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne City?
Sydney has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Sydney?
Melbourne City has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Melbourne City were as follows:
03.01.2026
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
0:0
03.05.2025
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
5:1
29.03.2025
Sydney
-
Melbourne City
2:3
24.02.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne City
1:1
03.11.2023
Melbourne City
-
Sydney
2:0
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
