Result
4:1
31/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 15
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport 5 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/434) | 83% (352/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/434) | 83% (352/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 38% (14/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/105) | 68% (71/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 42% (11/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Fraser R. ⚽, Kraev B. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Campuzano V. ⚽, Akon A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Quintal T. 🟨,
- 46', Barbarouses K. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Tisserand M. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, Quintal T. ⚽, Akon A. (A),
- 63', Fraser R. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 1, Quintal T. ⚽, Akon A. (A),
- 71', Akon A. ↓, Lolley J. ↑,
- 72', Borrello B. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 72', Pantazopoulos A. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
- 74', Garuccio B. 🟨,
- 74', Kraev B. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
- 80', Campuzano V. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
- 85', Quintal T. ↓, Kamijo W. ↑,
- 85', Garuccio B. ↓, King J. ↑,
- 85', Tisserand M. ↓, Popovic A. ↑,
- 90+2', Devenish-Meares H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Wood P. 🟨,
- 90+4', King J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hammond A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sydney
32.5% | Draw
26.7% | Western Sydney Wanderers
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney's form might have worsened.Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+22.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(1.73) |
3.55 ↓
(3.92) |
2.36 ↓
(3.98) |
5.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sydney (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Western Sydney (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Western Sydney (votes: 7 - 63.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
- Sydney is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Western Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Sydney: Garuccio B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hoefsloot G.
(Inactive)
Lolley J.
(Inactive)
Toure A.
(Inactive)
Walatee A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sydney: Grant A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Sydney has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Sydney?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
29.11.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Sydney
1:0
08.02.2025
Sydney
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
3:3
23.11.2024
Sydney
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
4:2
19.10.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Sydney
1:2
13.04.2024
Sydney
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:1
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
