Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (287/397) | 63% (202/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.64 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (287/397) | 63% (202/323) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (42/89) | 34% (35/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (48/95) | 43% (50/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.50 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
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| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 84% (16/19) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Omran R. ⚽,
- 39', Khaled H. 🟨,
- 42', Ashraf M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Camacho M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mohamed M. ↓, Magli M. ↑,
- 61', Omran R. ↓, Aziz M. ↑,
- 62', Abou-Salima I. 🟨,
- 66', Khaled Ramadan 🟨,
- 73', Tarek A. ↓, Mostafa Y. ↑,
- 73', Khaled H. ↓, Ouro-Agoro I. ↑,
- 75', Hamdi M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 75', Ashraf M. ↓, Abid A. ↑,
- 83', Khaled Ramadan ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 83', Mohareb I. ↓, Sotohi K. ↑,
- 84', El Henawy F. 🟨,
- 88', Hafez A. ↓, Gyabaah M. ↑,
- 88', El Negely M. ↓, Nayel A. ↑,
- 89', El Sayed E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tala`ea El-Gaish
55.9% | Draw
29.9% | Haras El-Hodood
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tala`ea El-Gaish's performance.Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haras El-Hodood might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tala`ea El-Gaish that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haras El-Hodood could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.95) |
3.11 ↑
(2.9) |
6.58 ↑
(4.56) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tala`ea El-Gaish will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tala`ea El-Gaish will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 17 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Haras El-Hodood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, El-Gaish is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against Haras El-Hodood?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
Haras El-Hodood has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood were as follows:
29.12.2024
Haras El-Hodood
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
3:0
04.05.2023
Haras El-Hodood
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
2:3
28.12.2022
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Haras El-Hodood
2:2
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
