Athletic Bilbao B vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
86
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
178
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
92
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 30', Pitu 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Sanz I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moreno M. , Di Renzo G. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 69', Nordin M. , Molina A. ,
  • 77', Pitu , Sanchez L. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Montero Sergio ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao B
46.3%
Draw
30.4%
Talavera de la Reina
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 28.2% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 29.9% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.78)
    2.99
    (3.29)
    3.93
    (4.72)
    9.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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