Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
6:5 penalties
01/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDajto, Nova Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4634
Shots off target
179
Shooting PCT
10.87% (5/46)14.71% (5/34)
Blocked shots
1912
Goalkeeper Saves
2941
Saves PCT
85.29% (29/34)89.13% (41/46)
Penalties
611
PIM
1525
Power-play Goals
31
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
27.27% (3/11)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)72.73% (8/11)
Hits
2220
Faceoffs Won
3928
Faceoffs %
58.2141.79
Giveaways
1914
Takeaways
52
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 3)
  • 00:11, 1 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 04:57, James D. (2 min),
  • 05:02, Arvidsson V. (2 min),
  • 07:48, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 11:24, 1 - 1, Steeves A. (G), Eyssimont M. (A),
  • 15:36, 1 - 2, Geekie M. (G), McAvoy C. (A), Aspirot J. (A2)
  • 16:55, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 18:03, 1 - 3, Arvidsson V. (G), McAvoy C. (A), Geekie M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 2)
  • 02:22, 1 - 4, Poitras M. (G), Kastelic M. (A),
  • 08:18, 1 - 5, Geekie M. (G), Pastrnak D. (A), Khusnutdinov M. (A2)
  • 09:07, McAvoy C. (2 min),
  • 10:26, 2 - 5, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 10:28, Kastelic M. (2 min),
  • 11:01, Swayman J. (5 min),
  • 11:01, Vasilevski A. (5 min),
  • 11:01, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 11:01, McAvoy C. (2 min),
  • 14:03, Arvidsson V. (2 min),
  • 14:16, Jeannot T. (2 min),
  • 15:45, Kuraly S. (2 min),
  • 15:50, 3 - 5, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • 16:13, 4 - 5, Paul N. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 11:50, 5 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), McDonagh R. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • 00:18, Pastrnak D. (2 min),
  • 04:35, Lindholm H. (2 min),
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Mittelstadt C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Minten F. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Pastrnak D. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
53.4%		Draw
21.6%		Boston Bruins
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 22.2% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 23.2% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • Boston Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston Bruins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boston Bruins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↓
    (2.12)    		 4.44 ↑
    (4.37)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.03)    		 4.9%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Boston will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Tampa Bay (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Outdoor game.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: D'Astous C. (Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Boston: Lindholm E. (Upper-Body Injury) Zacha P. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 2.7:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins were as follows:
    13.10.2025 Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:4
    15.03.2025 Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:6
    08.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins 0:4
    14.01.2025 Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning 6:2
    09.01.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins 4:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    29.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1 ✺
    26.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Utah Mammoth 2:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:5 ✺
    23.01.2026 Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boston Bruins
    29.01.2026 Boston Bruins - Philadelphia Flyers 6:3 ✺
    27.01.2026 Boston Bruins - Nashville Predators 3:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 New York Rangers - Boston Bruins 4:3 ✺
    24.01.2026 Boston Bruins - Montreal Canadiens 4:3 ✺
    22.01.2026 Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights 4:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

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    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
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    10Los Angeles Kings601591422155:17962
    11Nashville Predators61207826179:21062
    12Winnipeg Jets602041026171:18658
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14Calgary Flames60204729149:18155
    15St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning59299417210:15880
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders622312522183:17775
    8Boston Bruins60268521202:18873
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    11Ottawa Senators60236922201:19367
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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