Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
06/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2834
Shots off target
2014
Shooting PCT
14.29% (4/28)5.88% (2/34)
Blocked shots
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
3224
Saves PCT
94.12% (32/34)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
53
PIM
186
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2120
Faceoffs Won
1738
Faceoffs %
30.9169.09
Giveaways
1219
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:58, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 18:14, Burns B. (2 min),
  • 19:48, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:22, 1 - 1, Kelly P. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Solovyov I. (A2)
  • 07:28, Bardakov Z. (2 min),
  • 09:31, 1 - 2, Nelson B. (G), Makar C. (A),
  • 17:22, 2 - 2, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:19, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 08:31, 3 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 18:35, 4 - 2, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 20:00, D'Astous C. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
37.3%
Draw
22.3%
Colorado Avalanche
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 21.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 20.3% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Avalanche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.74)
    4.27
    (4.39)
    2.36
    (2.15)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 60%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Colorado is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in Colorado: Blackwood M. (Lower-Body Injury) Landeskog G. (Upper-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colorado: Kiviranta J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 4.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    25.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 8:2
    30.10.2024 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    15.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 6:3
    27.11.2023 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 774561016290:197112
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7835111220262:214104
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7830151221261:225102
    4Utah Mammoth773110630254:22388
    5Edmonton Oilers783091029270:26388
    6Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    7Anaheim Ducks782417532257:27687
    8Nashville Predators7827101031238:25684
    9Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    10San Jose Sharks762512732234:26981
    11Winnipeg Jets772771231221:23480
    12St. Louis Blues772941232206:24178
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames77257936202:24773
    15Chicago Blackhawks782171436202:25670
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 783614622281:233106
    2Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 78399624281:221102
    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7832141022273:245102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins783371622280:25096
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators783561027264:24092
    8Philadelphia Flyers7825151226233:23292
    9Columbus Blue Jackets7827121227245:24190
    10New York Islanders782814531226:22989
    11Detroit Red Wings782911929228:23889
    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
    13New Jersey Devils782812335219:23983
    14Toronto Maple Leafs772391431242:27578
    15Florida Panthers78298437233:26678
    16New York Rangers78249936229:23875

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )