Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:2
06/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2834
Shots off target
2014
Shooting PCT
14.29% (4/28)5.88% (2/34)
Blocked shots
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
3224
Saves PCT
94.12% (32/34)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
53
PIM
186
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2120
Faceoffs Won
1738
Faceoffs %
30.9169.09
Giveaways
1219
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:58, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 18:14, Burns B. (2 min),
  • 19:48, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:22, 1 - 1, Kelly P. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Solovyov I. (A2)
  • 07:28, Bardakov Z. (2 min),
  • 09:31, 1 - 2, Nelson B. (G), Makar C. (A),
  • 17:22, 2 - 2, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:19, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 08:31, 3 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 18:35, 4 - 2, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 20:00, D'Astous C. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
37.3%		Draw
22.3%		Colorado Avalanche
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 21.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 20.3% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Avalanche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↓
    (2.74)    		 4.27 ↓
    (4.39)    		 2.36 ↑
    (2.15)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 60%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Colorado is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in Colorado: Blackwood M. (Lower-Body Injury) Landeskog G. (Upper-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colorado: Kiviranta J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 4.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    25.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 8:2
    30.10.2024 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    15.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 6:3
    27.11.2023 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7 ✺
    01.01.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:4 ✺
    28.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 5:4 ✺
    27.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Colorado Avalanche
    04.01.2026 Florida Panthers - Colorado Avalanche 2:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Colorado Avalanche 3:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Colorado Avalanche - St. Louis Blues 6:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Los Angeles Kings 5:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche 5:6 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

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