St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
16/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2136
Shots off target
1127
Shooting PCT
9.52% (2/21)5.56% (2/36)
Blocked shots
1010
Goalkeeper Saves
3419
Saves PCT
94.44% (34/36)90.48% (19/21)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)66.67% (2/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
33.33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
Hits
2412
Faceoffs Won
3035
Faceoffs %
46.1553.85
Giveaways
1218
Takeaways
83
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 17:03, 1 - 0, Neighbours J. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
  • 17:33, 2 - 0, Bjugstad N. (G), Buchnevich P. (A),
  • 18:40, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 08:03, Toropchenko A. (2 min),
  • 09:51, Walker N. (2 min),
  • 09:59, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 11:01, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 13:05, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 19:30, Schenn B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Neighbours J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kyrou J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Louis Blues
25.7%
Draw
22.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 22.6% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 23.2% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.04)
    4.22
    (4.18)
    1.86
    (2.04)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.
    • In recent matches, St. Louis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis: Holloway D. (Ankle Injury) Joseph M. (Elbow Injury) Krug T. (Ankle Injury) Suter P. (Ankle Injury) Thomas R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis: Broberg P. (Concussion)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:56. (average 2.6:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 3.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    22.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues 4:1
    19.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues 3:1
    05.11.2024 St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    19.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues 6:1
    14.11.2023 St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:0
    Latest results of St. Louis Blues
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    13New Jersey Devils712512232197:21576
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